Bologna vs Brann - Football Platform

Europa League

Brann

56' Joao Mario

26 Feb 2026

21:00

Renato Dall'Ara

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 0

Score Summary

Bologna

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Brann

Joao Mario 56'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Bologna 1521 1530 ▲ 9

45% Win

Brann 1485 1476 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Bologna 0.14 -0.03 ▼ -0.17

41% Win

Brann 0.03 -0.01 ▼ -0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

João Mário

Bologna

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

João Mário

Bologna

9.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Nikola Moro

Bologna

7.3

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Denzel De Roeve

Brann

7.3

7 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bologna 62% Brann 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

61 Possession 39

16 Shots 7

5 On Target 3

Form Context

Bologna

D W W D W

Brann

D D L D L

Smart Insight

Bologna controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bologna generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bologna after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 33.4%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 38.3%

Expected Goals 1.29 - 1.39

Qualification %

Bologna 100.0%

Brann 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

61 Possession 39

5 Shots 3

16 Shots 7

3 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 2

5 Shots On Goal 3

16 Total Shots 7

61 Ball Possession 39

364 Passes Accurate 207

445 Total Passes 301

82% Passes % 69%

8 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

15 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 1

3 Yellow Cards 1

13 Corner Kicks 1

13 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.23 expected_goals 0.51

0 goals_prevented 0

Bologna — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Benjamín Domínguez	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	30	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Davide Baroncioni	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	70	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Federico Bernardeschi	1	7	-	3	15	5	2	1	False	61	10	F	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Federico Ravaglia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jens Odgaard	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	17	21	F	7.5	True	0	-	-	1	6	2	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jhon Lucumí	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	26	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	44	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	2
👤 Jonathan Rowe	0	4	1	1	15	4	-	-	False	90	11	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	1	24	2	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 João Mário	0	3	1	2	12	10	-	-	False	90	17	D	9.2	False	0	-	1	1	38	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	4
👤 Lewis Ferguson	0	-	-	-	12	6	3	2	True	90	19	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	35	2	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Martin Vitík	1	-	-	-	7	5	1	1	False	62	41	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Massimo Pessina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadir Zortea	0	3	-	1	7	1	1	-	False	90	20	D	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	37	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nicolò Cambiaghi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolò Casale	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	28	16	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nikola Moro	0	1	1	-	7	1	1	-	False	79	6	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	45	3	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Remo Freuler	0	-	1	-	11	7	3	1	False	73	8	M	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	40	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	4
👤 Riccardo Orsolini	1	3	-	1	5	2	1	1	False	29	7	F	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castro	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	79	9	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Simon Sohm	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	11	23	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thijs Dallinga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tommaso Pobega	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Torbjørn Heggem	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Łukasz Skorupski	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	2	-	-	15	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brann — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bård Finne	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Denzel De Roeve	0	0	1	-	1	10	10	-	-	False	90	21	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	3	2	7
👤 Felix Horn Myhre	0	0	2	-	1	11	9	1	2	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	0	0	1	1	-	8	-	2	-	True	90	3	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	-
👤 Jacob Lungi Sørensen	1	0	1	-	1	7	5	1	1	False	37	18	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Jesper Nerhus Eikrem	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joachim Soltvedt	0	0	-	3	-	9	3	2	2	False	85	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Lægreid	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson	0	0	-	2	-	15	9	2	4	False	73	16	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	3
👤 Kristall Máni Ingason	0	0	1	-	-	8	4	-	-	False	60	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Lars Remmem	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mads Berg Sande	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Haaland	0	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	17	32	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Engevik Klausen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matias Dyngeland	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	1	4	-	-	17	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nana Kwame Boakye	0	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	2
👤 Niklas Jensen Wassberg	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Jean Holm	0	0	2	-	-	15	5	-	1	False	86	29	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Rasmus Holten	0	1	1	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	17	43	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Simen Vidtun Nilsen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thore Baardsen Pedersen	0	0	-	2	-	6	3	-	-	False	30	23	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ulrik Mathisen	0	0	4	1	1	14	5	-	1	False	73	14	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Vetle Winger Dragsnes	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	20	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Bologna and Brann

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna	1-0	8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann	1-0	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Bologna

100.0%

Brann

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Brann 0-1 Bologna

Current aggregate: 0-2

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

33.4%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

38.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bologna 1.29

Brann 1.39

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bologna

Brann

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)