Celta Vigo vs Lyon - Football Platform

Europa League

Lyon

25' J. Rueda
87' Endrick

12 Mar 2026

21:00

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 1

Score Summary

Celta Vigo

1 1

FT HT 1–0

Lyon

J. Rueda 25'

87' Endrick

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Celta Vigo 1559 1560 ▲ 0

52% Win

Lyon 1571 1571 ▼ 0

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

Celta Vigo 0.25 0.23 ▼ -0.02

35% Win

Lyon 0.32 0.06 ▼ -0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Endrick

Lyon

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Javier Rueda

Celta Vigo

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Endrick

Lyon

8.0

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Óscar Mingueza

Celta Vigo

7.2

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Celta Vigo 33% Lyon 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

29 Possession 71

5 Shots 20

3 On Target 6

Form Context

Celta Vigo

W L L W D

Lyon

L W W W W

Smart Insight

Lyon carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Lyon produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.1%

Draw 28.3%

Away Win 29.7%

Expected Goals 1.46 - 1.19

Qualification %

Celta Vigo 100.0%

Lyon 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	1-1	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

29 Possession 71

3 Shots 6

5 Shots 20

0 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 7

3 Shots On Goal 6

5 Total Shots 20

29 Ball Possession 71

223 Passes Accurate 651

288 Total Passes 701

77% Passes % 93%

0 Blocked Shots 7

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 14

1 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 2

0 Corner Kicks 7

3 Shots Insidebox 7

2 Shots Outsidebox 13

1.10 expected_goals 1.08

0 goals_prevented 0

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alvaro Núñez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Borja Iglesias	1	2	2	-	1	6	2	3	-	False	54	7	F	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Carl Starfelt	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Carlos Domínguez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fer López	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ferran Jutglà	0	0	3	-	-	11	4	3	2	False	45	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	-
👤 Hugo Sotelo	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	22	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Hugo Álvarez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iago Aspas	0	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	True	45	10	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Ilaix Moriba	0	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	1	False	89	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Ionuț Radu	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.9	False	0	1	5	-	-	16	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Villar	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	0	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	90	32	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Javier Rueda	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	17	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joseph Aidoo	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Alonso	0	1	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	20	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Matías Vecino	0	1	1	-	1	7	3	1	1	False	90	15	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Mihailo Ristic	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	27	21	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Durán	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	24	18	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Sergio Carreira	0	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	45	5	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Williot Swedberg	0	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	3	False	66	19	F	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	10	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Óscar Mingueza	0	1	1	2	1	11	6	2	1	False	63	3	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4

Lyon — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abner Vinícius	0	2	1	1	9	5	1	-	False	90	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	1	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Adam Karabec	0	2	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	20	7	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	2	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adil Hamdani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	84	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Clinton Mata	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	3	False	90	22	D	7.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	91	1	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Corentin Tolisso	0	-	1	-	5	2	2	1	True	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	87	-	102	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Dominik Greif	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	21	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Endrick	0	3	-	1	7	4	1	2	False	90	9	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	28	4	30	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Khalis Merah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathys de Carvalho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Niakhaté	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	3	False	90	19	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	86	1	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nicolás Tagliafico	1	1	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	66	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	50	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Noah Nartey	0	3	1	1	7	1	-	-	False	85	99	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	4	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Orel Mangala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	5	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roman Yaremchuk	0	-	1	-	5	1	-	-	False	90	77	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	17	1	17	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Rémi Himbert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	4	45	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rémy Descamps	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steeve Kango	1	2	-	1	14	4	5	1	False	85	60	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	2	53	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Tanner Tessmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Goncalves	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	46	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Morton	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	False	85	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	96	-	103	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Yvann Konan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Celta Vigo and Lyon

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	1-1	8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo	1-1	8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Celta Vigo

100.0%

Lyon

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Celta Vigo 1-1 Lyon

Current aggregate: 3-1

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.1%

Home Win

28.3%

Draw

29.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.46

Lyon 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Celta Vigo

Lyon

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)