Ferencvarosi TC vs SC Braga - Football Platform

Europa League

SC Braga

Coach : Carlos Carvalhal

32' G. Kanichowsky
69' L. Joseph

12 Mar 2026

21:00

Groupama Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 4

Score Summary

Ferencvarosi TC

2 0

FT HT 1–0

SC Braga

G. Kanichowsky 32'
L. Joseph 69'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Ferencvarosi TC 1531 1542 ▲ 11

53% Win

SC Braga 1550 1539 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Ferencvarosi TC 0.12 0.08 ▼ -0.03

34% Win

SC Braga 0.05 0.09 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Lenny Joseph

Ferencvarosi TC

8.3

8.3 rating · 84 min

Most Clinical

Gabi Kanichowsky

Ferencvarosi TC

8.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Callum O'Dowda

Ferencvarosi TC

7.3

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Callum O'Dowda

Ferencvarosi TC

7.3

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Ferencvarosi TC 43% SC Braga 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

30 Possession 70

12 Shots 8

3 On Target 4

Form Context

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W D L

SC Braga

L D W W D

Smart Insight

SC Braga carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Ferencvarosi TC generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Ferencvarosi TC after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.7%

Draw 28.0%

Away Win 27.3%

Expected Goals 1.51 - 1.14

Qualification %

Ferencvarosi TC 0.0%

SC Braga 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	2-0	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

30 Possession 70

3 Shots 4

12 Shots 8

5 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 2

3 Shots On Goal 4

12 Total Shots 8

30 Ball Possession 70

208 Passes Accurate 570

265 Total Passes 643

78% Passes % 89%

3 Blocked Shots 2

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

12 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

2 Corner Kicks 11

6 Shots Insidebox 6

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.42 expected_goals 0.59

0 goals_prevented 0

Ferencvarosi TC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Barnabás Nagy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	77	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cadu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum O'Dowda	0	-	1	-	10	7	1	-	False	90	47	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	19	3	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Cebrail Makreckis	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	25	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	1	11	1	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Dávid Gróf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	99	G	7.3	False	0	4	-	-	12	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franko Kovačević	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	19	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabi Kanichowsky	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	36	M	8	False	0	-	1	-	22	1	24	-	-	-	2	2	1	1	2
👤 Gábor Szalai	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahim Cissé	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	True	90	27	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jonathan Levi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Júlio Romão	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	66	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kristoffer Zachariassen	1	2	-	2	13	11	2	1	False	90	16	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	1	14	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	3
👤 Lenny Joseph	0	4	-	3	21	12	2	3	False	84	75	F	8.3	False	1	-	1	-	10	1	17	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Mariano Gómez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	31	1	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 Mohammad Abu Fani	0	5	2	1	19	8	4	4	False	89	15	F	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	23	1	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Naby Keïta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toon Raemaekers	0	-	3	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	28	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	41	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yusuf Bamidele	0	1	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	89	11	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	1	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Zalán Tóth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zsombor Gruber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ádám Madarász	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	72	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ádám Varga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SC Braga — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine El Ouazzani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bright Arrey-Mbi	1	-	1	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	26	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Demir Ege Tıknaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Rodrigues	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	50	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Florian Grillitsch	0	1	-	-	9	2	2	1	False	90	27	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Fran Navarro	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	16	39	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Gabriel Martínez	0	2	-	-	4	-	1	-	False	27	77	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Moscardo	1	2	-	2	4	3	1	-	False	28	17	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Gustaf Lagerbielke	0	-	-	-	10	4	1	2	False	90	14	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean-Baptiste Gorby	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	16	29	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joao Carvalho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	78	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Moutinho	0	1	2	-	11	4	-	1	False	74	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	1	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Leonardo Lelo	0	1	-	-	6	2	-	1	False	89	5	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukáš Horníček	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	2	1	-	-	33	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Dorgeles	0	2	1	1	7	3	-	2	False	63	20	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Pau Víctor	0	1	-	-	6	1	1	-	False	74	18	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Paulo Oliveira	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ricardo Horta	0	-	1	-	2	1	1	1	True	90	21	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	1	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Zalazar	0	5	1	4	11	6	1	2	False	90	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	57	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	-
👤 Samy Jr Merheg	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sikou Niakaté	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	1	False	62	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Tiago Sá	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yanis da Rocha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Ferencvarosi TC and SC Braga

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	2-0	8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC	2-0	8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Ferencvarosi TC

0.0%

SC Braga

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Ferencvarosi TC 2-0 SC Braga

Current aggregate: 2-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.7%

Home Win

28.0%

Draw

27.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Ferencvarosi TC 1.51

SC Braga 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Ferencvarosi TC

SC Braga

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)