SC Freiburg vs Genk - Football Platform

Europa League

Genk

19 Mar 2026

18:45

Europa-Park Stadion

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 5 - 2

Score Summary

SC Freiburg

5 1

FT HT 2–1

Genk

39' M. Smets

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

SC Freiburg 1515 1525 ▲ 11

54% Win

Genk 1541 1530 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

57% Win

SC Freiburg 0.15 0.12 ▼ -0.03

30% Win

Genk 0.13 0.14 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matthias Ginter

SC Freiburg

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Matthias Ginter

SC Freiburg

9.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Yuito Suzuki

SC Freiburg

8.5

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Ibrahima Sory Bangoura

Genk

6.7

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Freiburg 67% Genk 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

15 Shots 13

6 On Target 3

Form Context

SC Freiburg

W D W W L

Genk

W W L W W

Smart Insight

SC Freiburg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors SC Freiburg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.9%

Draw 26.6%

Away Win 21.6%

Expected Goals 1.68 - 1.01

Qualification %

SC Freiburg 100.0%

Genk 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

46 Possession 54

6 Shots 3

15 Shots 13

2 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 5

6 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 13

46 Ball Possession 54

332 Passes Accurate 407

407 Total Passes 471

82% Passes % 86%

6 Blocked Shots 5

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

13 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 5

12 Shots Insidebox 8

3 Shots Outsidebox 5

2.41 expected_goals 1.74

-1 goals_prevented -1

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Ogbus	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	43	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christian Günter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cyriaque Irié	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	18	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	1	-	-	-	7	2	3	-	False	72	31	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	2	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	1	2	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	71	19	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Huth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johan Manzambi	1	5	-	2	14	7	3	4	False	81	44	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	29	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Jordy Makengo	0	2	1	1	9	4	2	1	False	90	33	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Lucas Höler	1	1	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	19	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Kübler	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	11	17	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	28	D	9	False	1	0	-	1	-	42	1	49	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	-
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	0	2	-	1	9	4	1	-	False	90	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	34	1	39	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Maximilian Philipp	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	30	-	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	18	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Lienhart	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	9	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Philipp Treu	0	1	2	-	8	4	-	1	False	83	29	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	1	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	True	72	32	M	8	False	1	0	-	1	-	23	1	30	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Yuito Suzuki	0	6	-	3	13	9	-	-	False	90	14	M	8.5	False	1	0	-	1	1	29	3	36	-	-	-	1	1	2	1	3

Genk — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Bibout	0	-	-	-	9	4	1	-	False	69	23	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	-	14	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Adrian Palacios	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayumu Yokoyama	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Heynen	0	-	1	-	9	4	-	1	True	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Daan Heymans	1	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	83	38	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Hendrik Van Crombrugge	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura	1	-	-	-	9	5	2	-	False	69	21	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	4
👤 Jarne Steuckers	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joris Kayembe	0	-	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	69	18	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	2	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Josue Ndenge Kongolo	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	False	90	44	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Junya Ito	0	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	21	10	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jusef Erabi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ken Nkuba	0	2	2	1	12	5	2	2	False	90	27	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	48	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Konstantinos Karetsas	0	4	1	1	10	4	-	2	False	90	20	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	43	2	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lucca Brughmans	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matte Smets	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	2	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	62	1	72	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	1
👤 Mujaid Sadick	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Sattlberger	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	24	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg	0	3	1	-	6	2	-	2	False	45	32	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Robin Mirisola	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	21	29	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Okiki Lawal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	5.2	False	0	5	1	-	-	20	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yaimar Medina	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	21	19	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yira Collins Sor	0	2	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	45	14	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: SC Freiburg and Genk

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg	5-1	8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk	5-1	8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

SC Freiburg

100.0%

Genk

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Genk 1-0 SC Freiburg

Current aggregate: 5-2

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.9%

Home Win

26.6%

Draw

21.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 1.68

Genk 1.01

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Freiburg

Genk

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)