Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 3–0

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

13 Feb 2026

20:30

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

4 0

FT HT 3–0

FSV Mainz 05

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

63% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1579 1586 ▲ 7

37% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1484 1477 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

64% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.50 0.66 ▲ 0.16

26% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.20 0.21 ▲ 0.41

Top Performers

Top Rated

Julian Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

10.0

10.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Serhou Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund

8.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Julian Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

10.0

5 key passes · 4 assists

Defensive Leader

Kaishu Sano

FSV Mainz 05

6.5

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 62% FSV Mainz 05 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

14 Shots 10

8 On Target 5

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Borussia Dortmund generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.4%

Draw 22.8%

Away Win 19.8%

Expected Goals 2.08 - 1.16

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		83	W W W W D
2	Borussia Dortmund	4-0	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W L
4	Bayer Leverkusen		58	W W L W W
5	VfB Stuttgart		58	L W L D D
6	1899 Hoffenheim		58	L D W W D