Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 0–2

Hamburger SV

21 Mar 2026

18:30

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

3 2

FT HT 0–2

Hamburger SV

19' P. Otele
38' A. S. Lokonga

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

63% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1589 1596 ▲ 7

37% Win

Hamburger SV 1496 1488 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.47 0.66 ▲ 0.19

26% Win

Hamburger SV -0.36 -0.62 ▼ -0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ramy Bensebaini

Borussia Dortmund

8.3

8.3 rating · 45 min

Most Clinical

Ramy Bensebaini

Borussia Dortmund

8.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Julian Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

7.6

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Miro Muheim

Hamburger SV

7.2

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 67% Hamburger SV 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

68 Possession 32

24 Shots 4

8 On Target 4

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Hamburger SV

L D L L L

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Borussia Dortmund generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 56.4%

Draw 23.0%

Away Win 20.6%

Expected Goals 2.05 - 1.19

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	3-2	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

68 Possession 32

8 Shots 4

24 Shots 4

1 Offsides 2

11 Shots Off Goal 0

8 Shots On Goal 4

24 Total Shots 4

68 Ball Possession 32

460 Passes Accurate 183

531 Total Passes 258

87% Passes % 71%

5 Blocked Shots 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

10 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

11 Corner Kicks 3

20 Shots Insidebox 3

4 Shots Outsidebox 1

6.00 expected_goals 1.52

0 goals_prevented 0

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	32	17	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	-	2	-	7	2	1	1	False	58	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	17	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	4	-	2	13	6	1	2	False	89	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	50	1	55	-	1	-	0	-	1	3	-	1	1
👤 Fábio Silva	0	2	-	-	5	-	1	-	False	32	21	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	14	-	0	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	2	2	-	-	14	-	22	-	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	1	-	1	8	6	-	-	False	90	7	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	61	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Julian Brandt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	10	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	1	6	2	4	13	5	1	-	False	90	26	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	4	40	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Karim Adeyemi	1	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	45	27	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Luca Reggiani	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	45	49	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	58	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	26	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	4	-	1	21	9	3	3	False	90	14	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	0	-	0	2	1	5	-	-	2
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	True	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	78	-	0	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Niklas Süle	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	45	5	D	8.3	True	0	0	-	2	-	35	1	41	-	0	-	2	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	1	-	-	8	4	-	-	False	45	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	11	-	0	-	0	-	3	5	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	-	-	-	11	7	-	1	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	81	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Yan Couto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Hamburger SV — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Grønbæk	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Albert Sambi Lokonga	0	-	2	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	28	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Damion Downs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	23	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Elfadli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Fernandes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	3	5	-	-	27	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Baldé	0	-	3	-	8	5	-	-	False	22	45	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Fábio Vieira	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	67	20	F	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Giorgi Gocholeishvili	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean-Luc Dompé	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	1	7	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordan Torunarigha	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Luka Vušković	0	-	-	-	10	7	-	3	False	90	44	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Miro Muheim	0	1	2	1	15	11	2	2	True	90	28	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	7
👤 Nicolai Remberg	1	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	90	21	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Otto Stange	0	1	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	11	49	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Philip Otele	1	2	2	-	7	2	-	1	False	68	27	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	2	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	0	2	-	-	14	4	-	-	False	79	11	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	2	8	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Philippe	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	14	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sander Tangvik	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warmed Omari	0	-	-	-	13	7	3	1	False	89	17	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	1	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 William Mikelbrencis	1	4	-	2	12	6	1	1	False	89	2	M	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	9	1	17	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	3-2	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV	3-2	31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

56.4%

Home Win

23.0%

Draw

20.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 2.05

Hamburger SV 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)