FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg - Football Platform

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

HT: 1–0

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

22 Mar 2026

17:30

Millerntor-Stadion

Stadium

Millerntor-Stadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 29564 Surface: grass Address: Harald-Stender-Platz 1

Score Summary

FC St. Pauli

1 2

FT HT 1–0

SC Freiburg

D. Sinani 24'

65' I. Matanovic
78' I. Matanovic

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

40% Win

FC St. Pauli 1458 1450 ▼ -8

60% Win

SC Freiburg 1525 1534 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

FC St. Pauli -0.42 -0.58 ▼ -0.16

37% Win

SC Freiburg 0.15 0.12 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Igor Matanović

SC Freiburg

8.6

8.6 rating · 86 min

Most Clinical

Igor Matanović

SC Freiburg

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Eric Smith

FC St. Pauli

6.5

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Johan Manzambi

SC Freiburg

7.3

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC St. Pauli 40% SC Freiburg 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

10 Shots 15

4 On Target 6

Form Context

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

SC Freiburg

W L W W L

Smart Insight

SC Freiburg carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SC Freiburg produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SC Freiburg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.4%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 35.3%

Expected Goals 1.67 - 1.57

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

49 Possession 51

4 Shots 6

10 Shots 15

5 Offsides 3

4 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 6

10 Total Shots 15

49 Ball Possession 51

338 Passes Accurate 383

421 Total Passes 445

80% Passes % 86%

2 Blocked Shots 3

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

9 Fouls 5

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 2

5 Shots Insidebox 13

5 Shots Outsidebox 2

0.72 expected_goals 2.04

0 goals_prevented 0

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andreas Hountondji	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	27	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	96	11	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	26	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	24	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danel Sinani	0	1	-	-	10	4	1	-	False	96	10	F	7.3	False	-	0	-	1	2	32	-	42	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 David Nemeth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Smith	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	96	8	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	35	3	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	96	5	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	1	36	-	39	-	-	-	-	2	2	-	1
👤 Jackson Irvine	0	1	1	1	10	6	1	2	True	96	7	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	0	6	-	2	10	3	1	-	False	96	16	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	36	3	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	-	2	-	6	4	-	-	False	68	21	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	1	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Louis Oppie	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	28	23	D	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	1	11	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	7	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	-	-	-	9	4	3	1	False	84	28	F	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mathias Rasmussen	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	84	20	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	33	-	38	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	96	22	G	7.3	False	-	2	4	-	-	26	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taichi Hara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tomoya Ando	1	-	1	-	10	4	2	-	False	89	15	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	44	1	47	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bruno Ogbus	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	45	43	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	34	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Christian Günter	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cyriaque Irié	3	-	2	9	6	2	-	False	51	22	F	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	1	16	2	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Derry Scherhant	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	28	7	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	1	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	1	-	-	13	8	-	-	False	86	31	F	8.6	False	-	0	-	2	1	14	1	20	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	2
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	3	1	1	7	3	-	1	False	45	19	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Johan Manzambi	-	2	-	15	9	1	5	False	89	44	M	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	-	40	-	-	-	-	2	-	3	4
👤 Jordy Makengo	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	96	33	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	23	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Höler	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	9	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Kübler	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	96	28	D	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	67	1	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	-	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	96	8	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nicolas Höfler	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	96	1	G	7.7	False	-	1	3	-	-	42	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	7	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Philipp Lienhart	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	51	3	D	7.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	33	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Philipp Treu	-	-	-	7	3	1	1	False	96	29	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	32	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	True	68	32	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	20	1	28	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Yuito Suzuki	1	-	1	4	2	-	1	False	96	14	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	19	3	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and SC Freiburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg	1-2	31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	1-2	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and SC Freiburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.4%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

35.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.67

SC Freiburg 1.57

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC St. Pauli

SC Freiburg

Millerntor-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)