VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV - Football Platform

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

HT: 2–0

Hamburger SV

12 Apr 2026

17:30

MHP Arena

Score Summary

VfB Stuttgart

4 0

FT HT 2–0

Hamburger SV

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

61% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1563 1571 ▲ 8

39% Win

Hamburger SV 1488 1480 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

64% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.45 0.48 ▲ 0.03

26% Win

Hamburger SV -0.54 -0.62 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Maximilian Mittelstädt

VfB Stuttgart

9.9

9.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Maximilian Mittelstädt

VfB Stuttgart

9.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Deniz Undav

VfB Stuttgart

7.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jeff Chabot

VfB Stuttgart

8.2

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfB Stuttgart 69% Hamburger SV 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

65 Possession 35

23 Shots 9

11 On Target 5

Form Context

VfB Stuttgart

W L W L D

Hamburger SV

L D L L L

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart controlled momentum for most phases of play.
VfB Stuttgart generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 40.4%

Draw 23.0%

Away Win 36.6%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	4-0	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

65 Possession 35

11 Shots 5

23 Shots 9

5 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 4

11 Shots On Goal 5

23 Total Shots 9

65 Ball Possession 35

458 Passes Accurate 221

539 Total Passes 294

85% Passes % 75%

7 Blocked Shots 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 7

10 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 2

16 Shots Insidebox 4

7 Shots Outsidebox 5

3.64 expected_goals 0.61

0 goals_prevented 0

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.3	False	0	4	-	-	21	-	34	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	6	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	70	-	78	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	0	2	1	1	5	2	-	-	False	20	11	M	8.2	True	0	-	1	-	10	-	12	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Chema Andrés	1	-	1	-	9	4	1	1	False	70	30	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	29	3	35	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Chris Führich	0	3	-	2	7	4	-	1	False	70	10	M	8.9	False	1	-	1	-	28	4	34	-	0	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Dan-Axel Zagadou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Deniz Undav	1	-	-	-	10	6	1	1	True	88	26	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	1	29	5	39	-	1	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	-	-	-	7	1	3	-	False	70	9	F	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	14	2	16	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Leweling	0	2	1	-	8	3	1	2	False	90	18	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	3	23	2	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeff Chabot	0	-	-	-	13	11	1	2	False	90	24	D	8.2	False	0	-	-	-	67	1	73	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Jeremy Arevalo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	25	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josha Vagnoman	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	2	4	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	1	1	1	10	5	1	1	False	88	22	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	1	1	1	11	8	-	2	False	90	7	D	9.9	False	0	-	1	-	55	1	63	-	0	-	-	3	3	1	1	4
👤 Nikolas Nartey	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	20	28	M	7	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	1	False	90	3	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	52	-	58	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Tiago Tomás	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	20	8	F	7.3	True	1	-	-	1	5	1	5	-	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	1

Hamburger SV — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Grønbæk	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	60	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Damion Downs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Elfadli	0	-	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	72	8	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Daniel Fernandes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	4	7	-	-	33	-	57	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Baldé	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	72	45	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Fábio Vieira	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	2	False	90	20	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Giorgi Gocholeishvili	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	18	16	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hannes Hermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordan Torunarigha	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	25	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	3	3	1
👤 Nicolai Remberg	0	3	1	2	8	3	3	1	True	90	21	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Nicolás Capaldo	1	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	18	24	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Katterbach	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Otto Stange	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	30	49	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Philip Otele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	0	3	1	2	17	6	2	1	False	90	11	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	13	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Philippe	0	-	-	-	11	6	2	1	False	60	14	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Robert Glatzel	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	30	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Shafiq Nandja	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Warmed Omari	0	-	1	-	12	4	3	2	False	90	17	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	1	-	-	-	-	3	2	1
👤 William Mikelbrencis	0	3	1	1	12	5	-	-	False	90	2	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	4-0	31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV	4-0	31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 40.4%

Draw 23.0%

Away Win 36.6%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

55.9%

Home Win

23.1%

Draw

20.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 2.04

Hamburger SV 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)