SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo - Football Platform

Europa League

Celta Vigo

Coach : Claudio Giráldez

09 Apr 2026

21:00

Europa-Park Stadion

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 6 - 1

Score Summary

SC Freiburg

3 0

FT HT 2–0

Celta Vigo

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

SC Freiburg 1528 1539 ▲ 11

55% Win

Celta Vigo 1566 1555 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

SC Freiburg 0.19 0.12 ▼ -0.07

35% Win

Celta Vigo 0.28 0.23 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matthias Ginter

SC Freiburg

8.6

8.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Matthias Ginter

SC Freiburg

8.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Jan-Niklas Beste

SC Freiburg

8.3

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Matthias Ginter

SC Freiburg

8.6

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Freiburg 100% Celta Vigo 0%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

13 Shots 4

7 On Target 0

Form Context

SC Freiburg

W D W W L

Celta Vigo

W L L W D

Smart Insight

SC Freiburg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
SC Freiburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Freiburg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.5%

Draw 28.0%

Away Win 27.5%

Expected Goals 1.51 - 1.14

Qualification %

SC Freiburg 100.0%

Celta Vigo 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

52 Possession 48

7 Shots 0

13 Shots 4

1 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 0

13 Total Shots 4

52 Ball Possession 48

437 Passes Accurate 398

506 Total Passes 473

86% Passes % 84%

4 Blocked Shots 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

8 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 0

8 Shots Insidebox 2

5 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.56 expected_goals 0.58

0 goals_prevented 0

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Ogbus	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Günter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cyriaque Irié	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	16	7	F	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	0	4	-	2	19	10	2	1	False	90	31	F	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	12	2	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	4
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	0	1	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	89	19	M	8.3	False	1	-	1	-	32	4	34	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Jannik Huth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johan Manzambi	0	5	-	3	17	11	-	3	False	90	44	M	8.3	False	1	-	-	-	44	1	52	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Jordy Makengo	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	2	False	90	33	D	7	False	0	-	-	1	27	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lucas Höler	0	-	1	-	2	-	1	-	False	16	9	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Lukas Kübler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	17	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	0	1	-	-	11	6	1	1	False	90	28	D	8.6	False	0	-	1	-	61	-	67	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	3
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	1	4	1	4	12	10	1	1	False	90	8	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	50	-	55	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Maximilian Philipp	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	32	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Lienhart	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	3	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	56	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Philipp Treu	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	2	False	90	29	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	60	2	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rouven Tarnutzer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	69	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	True	74	32	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	24	-	30	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Yuito Suzuki	0	2	-	1	6	3	1	-	False	74	14	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alvaro Núñez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrés Antañón	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Borja Iglesias	-	1	-	10	3	2	2	True	73	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Domínguez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fer López	2	1	1	9	2	2	-	False	45	30	M	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	24	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	2
👤 Ferran Jutglà	3	-	1	6	1	1	-	False	73	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Franco Cervi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Sotelo	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	61	22	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Iago Aspas	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	10	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilaix Moriba	3	-	-	12	7	1	2	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Ionuț Radu	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	13	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Villar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	45	32	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	1	3	1	6	2	-	1	False	45	39	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joseph Aidoo	1	-	-	6	2	-	1	False	90	4	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Manu Fernández	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Alonso	-	1	-	10	5	1	2	False	90	20	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Matías Vecino	-	2	-	5	2	-	-	False	29	15	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Durán	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	17	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Carreira	2	-	1	8	4	2	1	False	90	5	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Williot Swedberg	1	1	-	7	3	-	-	False	45	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yoel Lago	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Óscar Mingueza	1	1	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	3	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: SC Freiburg and Celta Vigo

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg	3-0	8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo	3-0	8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

SC Freiburg

100.0%

Celta Vigo

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: SC Freiburg 3-0 Celta Vigo

Current aggregate: 1-6

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.5%

Home Win

28.0%

Draw

27.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 1.51

Celta Vigo 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Freiburg

Celta Vigo

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)