Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg - Football Platform

Europa League

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

16 Apr 2026

18:45

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 1 - 6

Score Summary

Celta Vigo

1 3

FT HT 0–0

SC Freiburg

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Celta Vigo 1542 1532 ▼ -10

51% Win

SC Freiburg 1548 1558 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Celta Vigo 0.17 0.23 ▲ 0.07

36% Win

SC Freiburg 0.27 0.12 ▼ -0.14

Top Performers

Top Rated

Yuito Suzuki

SC Freiburg

8.3

8.3 rating · 88 min

Most Clinical

Yuito Suzuki

SC Freiburg

8.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Iago Aspas

Celta Vigo

7.0

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Marcos Alonso

Celta Vigo

6.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Celta Vigo 25% SC Freiburg 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

14 Shots 9

2 On Target 6

Form Context

Celta Vigo

W L L W D

SC Freiburg

W D W W L

Smart Insight

SC Freiburg carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Celta Vigo generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Freiburg after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 31.1%

Draw 22.0%

Away Win 46.9%

Qualification %

Celta Vigo 0.0%

SC Freiburg 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

56 Possession 44

2 Shots 6

14 Shots 9

0 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 3

2 Shots On Goal 6

14 Total Shots 9

56 Ball Possession 44

352 Passes Accurate 264

424 Total Passes 327

83% Passes % 81%

5 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

21 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 3

8 Shots Insidebox 6

6 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.23 expected_goals 1.07

0 goals_prevented 0

Celta Vigo — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alvaro Núñez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Borja Iglesias	0	-	-	-	4	1	3	1	True	45	7	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fer López	0	3	2	-	16	3	4	1	False	88	30	M	6	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Ferran Jutglà	0	-	1	-	11	4	3	3	False	88	9	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Hugo Sotelo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hugo Álvarez	1	3	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	24	23	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iago Aspas	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	43	10	F	7	True	-	0	-	-	-	23	4	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ilaix Moriba	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	45	6	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ionuț Radu	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	88	13	G	6	False	-	3	2	-	-	15	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iván Villar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Rodríguez	0	1	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	88	32	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	44	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Javier Rueda	0	2	-	1	11	8	1	1	False	45	17	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Jones El-Abdellaoui	0	2	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	43	39	F	7.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	1	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Joseph Aidoo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manu Fernández	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Alonso	0	1	-	-	10	7	2	2	False	88	20	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	76	2	81	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	5
👤 Matías Vecino	1	1	-	-	6	-	2	-	False	64	15	M	6	False	-	0	-	-	-	22	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Mihailo Ristic	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Durán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Carreira	0	1	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	43	5	D	7	True	-	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Williot Swedberg	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	43	19	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	12	1	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Yoel Lago	0	-	1	-	5	3	1	-	False	45	29	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	22	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Óscar Mingueza	0	4	-	1	7	3	-	1	False	88	3	D	5.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	38	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Ogbus	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	43	D	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Günter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cyriaque Irié	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	5	22	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	1	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	32	7	F	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	1	1	-	1	8	5	-	1	False	56	31	F	7.7	False	-	-	1	-	7	1	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	0	-	-	-	9	7	2	2	False	83	19	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	25	2	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Jannik Huth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johan Manzambi	0	2	-	2	11	8	1	4	False	71	44	M	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	1
👤 Jordy Makengo	0	1	-	-	9	5	2	2	False	88	33	D	6.6	False	1	-	-	1	20	2	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Karl Steinmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	65	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Höler	0	1	-	1	7	7	-	1	False	32	9	F	7	True	-	-	-	-	5	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Lukas Kübler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	1	-	-	-	5	2	2	2	False	88	28	D	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	37	1	41	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	0	-	1	-	11	4	3	3	False	88	8	M	6.3	False	-	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Maximilian Philipp	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	27	M	6.7	True	-	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	88	1	G	8	False	-	2	-	-	24	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Lienhart	0	1	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	71	3	D	7	False	-	-	-	-	28	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Philipp Treu	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	3	False	88	29	D	7.5	False	-	-	-	-	25	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	0	1	1	-	5	2	-	-	True	56	32	M	7	False	1	-	-	-	17	1	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Yuito Suzuki	0	2	2	1	13	5	1	2	False	88	14	M	8.3	False	-	-	2	-	11	-	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2

No Match Events Available

Events for this match have not been synced yet.

Run: python manage.py sync_match_details --match 5269

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Celta Vigo and SC Freiburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg	1-3	8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo	1-3	8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Celta Vigo

0.0%

SC Freiburg

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: SC Freiburg 3-0 Celta Vigo

Current aggregate: 1-6

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 31.1%

Draw 22.0%

Away Win 46.9%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.7%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

25.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.56

SC Freiburg 1.10

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Celta Vigo

SC Freiburg

Prediction (catboost)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

No Match Events Available

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)