Real Betis vs SC Braga - Football Platform

Europa League

SC Braga

Coach : Carlos Carvalhal

16 Apr 2026

21:00

Estadio de La Cartuja

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 5

Score Summary

Real Betis

2 4

FT HT 2–1

SC Braga

Antony 13'
A. Ezzalzouli 26'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Real Betis 1549 1539 ▼ -10

50% Win

SC Braga 1550 1560 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Real Betis 0.23 0.21 ▼ -0.02

32% Win

SC Braga 0.05 0.09 ▲ 0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Abdessamad Ezzalzouli

Real Betis

8.5

8.5 rating · 93 min

Most Clinical

Jean-Baptiste Gorby

SC Braga

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Álvaro Fidalgo

Real Betis

6.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Álvaro Fidalgo

Real Betis

6.9

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Betis 50% SC Braga 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

10 Shots 6

5 On Target 5

Form Context

Real Betis

W W W L W

SC Braga

L D W W D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Real Betis generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Braga after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 35.9%

Draw 21.7%

Away Win 42.4%

Qualification %

Real Betis 0.0%

SC Braga 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	2-4	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	2-4	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

53 Possession 47

5 Shots 5

10 Shots 6

2 Offsides 3

3 Shots Off Goal 0

5 Shots On Goal 5

10 Total Shots 6

53 Ball Possession 47

377 Passes Accurate 342

462 Total Passes 418

82% Passes % 82%

2 Blocked Shots 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

12 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 1

5 Shots Insidebox 5

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.16 expected_goals 1.27

0 goals_prevented 0

Real Betis — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli	1	1	-	1	13	6	1	3	False	93	10	F	8.5	False	-	0	-	1	1	16	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Adrián	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Ruibal	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	27	24	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	9	2	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Antony	1	4	1	2	13	7	1	4	False	83	7	F	7.7	False	-	0	-	1	1	27	1	36	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Cedric Bakambu	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	16	11	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Chimy Ávila	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cucho Hernández	0	3	-	2	12	5	1	2	False	93	19	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Diego Llorente	0	1	-	-	9	5	2	2	False	93	3	D	5.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Hector Bellerin	0	3	2	1	8	3	1	-	False	77	2	D	5.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	28	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Isco	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Bartra	1	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	True	93	5	D	5.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	46	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Marc Roca	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nelson Deossa	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	16	18	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pablo Fornals	1	-	-	-	6	3	3	1	False	77	8	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	36	1	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Pablo García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	52	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pau Lopez	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	93	25	G	5.5	False	-	4	-	-	-	30	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ricardo Rodríguez	0	-	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	78	12	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	26	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Riquelme	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergi Altimira	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sofyan Amrabat	0	1	1	-	10	5	1	-	False	93	14	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	46	-	52	1	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Valentín Gómez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	15	16	D	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Fidalgo	0	1	1	1	10	8	-	-	False	66	15	M	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	22	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Álvaro Valles	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SC Braga — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amine El Ouazzani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bright Arrey-Mbi	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	26	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Demir Ege Tıknaz	0	-	-	-	10	6	2	3	False	62	34	F	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Florian Grillitsch	0	1	1	1	10	5	-	2	False	93	27	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	48	-	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Fran Navarro	0	-	-	-	5	-	2	-	False	31	39	F	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	1	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Martínez	1	5	2	4	18	10	4	3	False	81	77	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Gabriel Moscardo	1	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	73	17	M	7	True	-	0	-	-	-	28	1	31	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Gustaf Lagerbielke	0	-	1	-	7	5	-	1	False	93	14	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Jean-Baptiste Gorby	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	93	29	M	7.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	40	-	44	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	3	3
👤 Joao Carvalho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	78	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Moutinho	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	12	8	M	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leonardo Lelo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	5	D	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lukáš Horníček	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	93	1	G	6.2	False	-	2	3	-	-	12	-	22	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luís Pinto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	90	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Dorgeles	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pau Víctor	0	1	-	1	10	6	1	1	False	81	18	F	7.7	False	-	0	-	1	-	20	-	23	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Paulo Oliveira	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	31	15	D	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ricardo Horta	0	3	-	-	10	2	1	-	True	93	21	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	1	2	45	1	53	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Rodrigo Zalazar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Sá	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Gómez	0	1	-	1	9	3	3	1	False	93	2	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	1	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vítor Carvalho	1	-	-	-	8	4	2	-	False	62	6	D	7.3	False	-	0	-	1	-	33	-	36	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Yanis da Rocha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Real Betis and SC Braga

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	2-4	8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	2-4	8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Real Betis

0.0%

SC Braga

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: SC Braga 1-1 Real Betis

Current aggregate: 3-5

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 35.9%

Draw 21.7%

Away Win 42.4%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.2%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

26.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Betis 1.54

SC Braga 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Betis

SC Braga

Prediction (catboost)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)