SC Paderborn 07 vs Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 0–1

Dynamo Dresden

21 Mar 2026

13:00

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

2 1

FT HT 0–1

Dynamo Dresden

S. Tigges 66'
S. Tigges 85'

32' V. Vermeij

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

58% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1541 1550 ▲ 9

42% Win

Dynamo Dresden 1488 1480 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

59% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.44 0.46 ▲ 0.03

29% Win

Dynamo Dresden 0.06 0.06 ▲ 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

Steffen Tigges

SC Paderborn 07

8.9

8.9 rating · 45 min

Most Clinical

Steffen Tigges

SC Paderborn 07

8.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Jonas Sterner

Dynamo Dresden

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jonas Sterner

Dynamo Dresden

6.9

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 33% Dynamo Dresden 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

22 Shots 16

4 On Target 8

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Dynamo Dresden

L L W W L

Smart Insight

Dynamo Dresden carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SC Paderborn 07 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 53.1%

Draw 25.2%

Away Win 21.7%

Expected Goals 1.81 - 1.09

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

53 Possession 47

4 Shots 8

22 Shots 16

1 Offsides 1

10 Shots Off Goal 4

4 Shots On Goal 8

22 Total Shots 16

53 Ball Possession 47

389 Passes Accurate 339

463 Total Passes 419

84% Passes % 81%

8 Blocked Shots 4

8 Goalkeeper Saves 2

8 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 5

14 Shots Insidebox 10

8 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.47 expected_goals 1.28

0 goals_prevented 0

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	0	1	1	1	17	10	1	2	False	90	4	D	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	53	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 David Kinsombi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	8.3	False	0	1	8	-	-	36	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	True	90	20	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	42	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	3	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kennedy Okpala	1	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	8	10	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	0	3	1	1	12	3	2	1	False	90	17	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	-	24	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	1
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	1	False	45	22	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mika Baur	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	2	False	89	14	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	2	56	-	-	-	-	2	2	2	1
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	45	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	4	-	1	8	4	-	-	False	90	23	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ruben Müller	0	1	1	-	9	4	-	-	False	86	2	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	3	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	45	5	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Marino	0	6	-	3	15	7	-	-	False	87	30	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	24	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	1
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	2	-	1	12	6	2	-	False	45	27	F	8.9	True	0	0	-	2	-	7	2	15	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	90	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-

Dynamo Dresden — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Rossipal	0	2	1	2	8	5	-	-	False	90	19	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	72	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	2
👤 Christoph Daferner	0	1	-	-	5	-	1	-	False	30	33	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Mesenholer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Friedrich Muller	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	90	42	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	53	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Jakob Lemmer	0	1	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	18	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jason Ceka	0	3	-	2	5	4	-	-	False	72	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Sterner	0	3	1	1	14	7	2	-	False	90	32	D	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	29	3	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	5
👤 Julian Pauli	0	-	2	-	11	5	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	5
👤 Kofi Jeremy Amoako	0	2	-	-	9	6	1	1	False	87	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	3	32	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	2
👤 Konrad Faber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Herrmann	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	18	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lukas Boeder	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Hauptmann	0	-	-	-	8	6	1	2	True	72	27	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	4	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nils Fröling	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	18	16	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Wagner	0	2	2	-	15	5	1	3	False	90	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Sascha Risch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Kutschke	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	8	30	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Tim Schreiber	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	2	2	-	-	44	-	57	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincent Vermeij	0	1	-	-	10	6	1	-	False	60	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	8	-	13	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and Dynamo Dresden

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden	2-1	31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and Dynamo Dresden

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

53.1%

Home Win

25.2%

Draw

21.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.81

Dynamo Dresden 1.09

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

Dynamo Dresden

Home Deluxe Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)