Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Düsseldorf

HT: 2–0

Dynamo Dresden

24 Apr 2026

18:30

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Stadium

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Düsseldorf

Score Summary

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3 1

FT HT 2–0

Dynamo Dresden

90' J. Lemmer

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

42% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1440 1452 ▲ 12

58% Win

Dynamo Dresden 1493 1482 ▼ -12

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.18 -0.18 ▲ 0.01

37% Win

Dynamo Dresden 0.06 0.06 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Cedric Itten

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.3

8.3 rating · 93 min

Most Clinical

Luca Raimund

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Ben Justus Bobzien

Dynamo Dresden

6.5

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Matthias Zimmermann

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.2

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fortuna Düsseldorf 55% Dynamo Dresden 45%

Key Stats Snapshot

34 Possession 66

9 Shots 14

6 On Target 5

Form Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Dynamo Dresden

L L W W L

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Dynamo Dresden produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Fortuna Düsseldorf after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 20.8%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 51.5%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

34 Possession 66

6 Shots 5

9 Shots 14

0 Offsides 4

2 Shots Off Goal 3

6 Shots On Goal 5

9 Total Shots 14

34 Ball Possession 66

179 Passes Accurate 438

273 Total Passes 536

66% Passes % 82%

1 Blocked Shots 6

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

11 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

3 Corner Kicks 6

6 Shots Insidebox 10

3 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.06 expected_goals 0.91

0 goals_prevented 0

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	1	2	-	8	4	1	-	False	93	8	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Cedric Itten	5	1	2	20	10	2	2	False	93	13	F	8.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	12	1	21	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	2
👤 Christopher Lenz	-	-	-	7	1	4	1	False	46	3	D	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Elias Egouli	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	93	44	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	15	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	73	19	M	7.6	False	-	0	-	1	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	True	93	33	G	7	False	1	1	4	-	-	15	2	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Daland	-	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	29	2	D	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Jordi Paulina	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Hettwer	2	-	1	7	4	-	-	False	20	11	F	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kilian Sauck	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Raimund	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	47	7	F	7.5	True	-	0	-	1	-	5	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Marcel Lotka	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marin Ljubičić	3	2	2	8	3	-	-	False	93	20	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	-	2	-	10	7	-	-	False	64	25	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	-	-	-	5	1	3	-	False	93	23	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	15	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	1	1	-	10	5	-	1	False	93	14	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	3
👤 Tim Breithaupt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	-	1	-	8	4	-	-	False	93	15	D	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Žan Celar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Dynamo Dresden — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Rossipal	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	73	19	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	37	2	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	9	1	2	15	4	-	1	False	93	20	M	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	1	28	2	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Christoph Daferner	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	15	33	F	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Mesenholer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Friedrich Muller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakob Lemmer	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	31	10	M	7.2	True	-	0	-	1	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jason Ceka	2	-	1	9	7	2	3	False	62	7	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	12	1	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Jonas Sterner	2	1	2	14	9	-	-	False	93	32	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	1	35	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Julian Pauli	3	1	1	7	3	1	1	False	93	13	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	68	1	80	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Kofi Jeremy Amoako	1	-	1	7	5	-	1	False	62	6	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	1	27	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Konrad Faber	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	2	D	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Herrmann	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	31	8	M	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lukas Boeder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Hauptmann	2	-	1	7	2	1	1	True	73	27	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nils Fröling	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Wagner	-	1	-	10	5	1	2	False	93	18	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	52	-	60	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 Stefan Kutschke	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	20	30	F	6.3	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Thomas Keller	-	1	-	5	3	1	2	False	93	39	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	81	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Tim Schreiber	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	93	1	G	6.5	False	-	3	3	-	-	40	-	55	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincent Vermeij	-	-	-	11	4	-	-	False	78	9	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Dynamo Dresden

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden	3-1	31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	3-1	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Dynamo Dresden

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 20.8%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 51.5%

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

40.0%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

33.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.53

Dynamo Dresden 1.37

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Dynamo Dresden

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)