SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 2–2

FC Schalke 04

26 Apr 2026

13:30

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

2 3

FT HT 2–2

FC Schalke 04

L. Curda 13'
S. Marino 26'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1565 1555 ▼ -10

52% Win

FC Schalke 04 1578 1588 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.53 0.46 ▼ -0.07

35% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.50 0.57 ▲ 0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

7.3

7.3 rating · 31 min

Most Clinical

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Mika Baur

SC Paderborn 07

7.0

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Hasan Kuruçay

FC Schalke 04

6.2

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 40% FC Schalke 04 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

44 Possession 56

12 Shots 10

4 On Target 6

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

Smart Insight

FC Schalke 04 carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors FC Schalke 04 after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 22.7%

Away Win 39.9%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	2-3	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-3	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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44 Possession 56

4 Shots 6

12 Shots 10

2 Offsides 3

5 Shots Off Goal 2

4 Shots On Goal 6

12 Total Shots 10

44 Ball Possession 56

265 Passes Accurate 365

349 Total Passes 445

76% Passes % 82%

3 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

7 Corner Kicks 2

11 Shots Insidebox 9

1 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.16 expected_goals 2.20

0 goals_prevented 0

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	31	4	D	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 David Kinsombi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	31	41	G	6.9	False	-	1	-	-	8	-	9	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	True	31	20	D	6.7	False	-	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Bilbija	-	-	-	6	5	1	-	False	31	7	M	7	False	-	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Jonah Sticker	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	31	3	M	6.7	False	-	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Kennedy Okpala	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	1	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	31	17	M	7.3	False	-	-	1	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	1
👤 Markus Schubert	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mika Baur	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	31	14	M	7	False	1	-	-	-	10	2	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nick Bätzner	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Mohr	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ruben Müller	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	31	2	F	6.7	False	-	-	-	-	9	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	-	1	-	8	4	-	1	False	31	5	M	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sebastian Klaas	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Marino	3	-	2	8	2	-	-	False	31	30	F	7.3	False	-	-	1	1	2	-	3	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	3	-	3	5	3	1	-	False	31	25	D	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adil Aouchiche	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	31	24	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Adrian Gantenbein	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Gomis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Antwi-Adjei	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dejan Ljubičić	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	31	21	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	1	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dylan Leonard	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felipe Sánchez	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	31	4	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	28	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Janik Bachmann	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	2	1	1	15	5	1	1	True	31	19	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kevin Muller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loris Karius	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	31	1	G	6.9	False	-	2	2	-	-	9	-	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Grüger	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	31	43	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Moussa Ndiaye	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	31	16	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Moussa Sylla	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	31	9	F	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ron Schallenberg	-	3	-	6	2	-	-	False	31	6	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	31	23	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Timo Becker	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	31	5	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Vitalie Becker	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	2-3	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-3	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 37.4%

Draw 22.7%

Away Win 39.9%

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.0%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

29.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.61

FC Schalke 04 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

FC Schalke 04

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Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)