Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 3–0

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coach : D. Grammozis

17 Apr 2026

18:30

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

3 0

FT HT 3–0

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

Holstein Kiel 1470 1481 ▲ 11

57% Win

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1518 1506 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

45% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.21 -0.27 ▼ -0.05

35% Win

1. FC Kaiserslautern -0.01 -0.06 ▼ -0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Umut Tohumcu

Holstein Kiel

8.9

8.9 rating · 83 min

Most Clinical

Phil Harres

Holstein Kiel

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Kasper Davidsen

Holstein Kiel

7.0

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Luca Sirch

1. FC Kaiserslautern

7.2

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 71% 1. FC Kaiserslautern 29%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

15 Shots 6

5 On Target 2

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

1. FC Kaiserslautern

L W W L L

Smart Insight

Holstein Kiel controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Holstein Kiel generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Holstein Kiel after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 25.9%

Draw 23.6%

Away Win 50.5%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

52 Possession 48

5 Shots 2

15 Shots 6

2 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 2

5 Shots On Goal 2

15 Total Shots 6

52 Ball Possession 48

398 Passes Accurate 350

453 Total Passes 416

88% Passes % 84%

3 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 0

7 Shots Insidebox 5

8 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.58 expected_goals 0.91

-1 goals_prevented -1

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 David Zec	0	-	-	-	13	9	1	2	False	83	26	D	8.6	False	-	-	1	-	62	2	70	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	15	2	D	6.3	True	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ikem Ugoh	0	2	1	1	12	5	1	-	False	75	49	M	7.5	False	1	-	-	1	15	3	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	13	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	53	-	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	2	False	90	28	M	7.3	False	-	-	-	-	45	2	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	7	-	2	17	7	-	1	False	66	10	M	6.5	True	-	-	-	-	13	1	16	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	4
👤 Kasper Davidsen	1	1	1	1	5	2	1	1	False	90	15	M	7	False	1	-	-	1	27	4	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	1	4	-	3	9	5	-	1	False	75	23	D	7.2	False	-	-	-	-	41	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Lenny Borges	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Parduzi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Müller	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	7	25	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	3	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.7	False	-	-	-	-	39	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	7	29	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	1	1	-	8	3	2	-	False	90	19	F	7.2	False	-	-	1	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	15	22	M	6.6	True	-	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	-	True	24	7	M	6.6	False	-	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	-	2	-	-	52	-	58	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umut Tohumcu	0	2	-	2	7	5	3	1	False	83	8	M	8.9	False	1	-	1	-	33	1	38	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2

1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Daniel Hanslik	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	26	19	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fabian Kunze	0	-	1	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	6	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	1	47	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Florian Kleinhansl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Rasmussen	0	-	3	-	6	2	-	-	False	90	14	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	60	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Julian Krahl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	-	3	2	-	-	36	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenny Prince Redondo	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	26	11	M	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Kim Ji-Soo	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	45	5	D	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	26	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Leon Robinson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Sirch	0	1	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	45	31	D	7.2	True	-	0	-	-	1	26	-	30	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Mahir Emreli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marlon Ritter	0	-	1	-	3	1	2	1	True	45	7	M	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Maxwell Gyamfi	0	1	1	-	6	4	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	42	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Mergim Berisha	0	-	-	-	10	3	1	-	False	64	20	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mika Haas	0	4	-	2	13	9	1	2	False	90	22	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	33	2	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Naatan Skyttä	0	2	-	1	7	1	-	-	False	64	15	M	6	False	-	0	-	-	-	6	1	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Norman Bassette	0	1	-	-	5	-	1	-	False	45	17	F	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Paul Joly	1	8	1	3	23	13	1	3	False	90	26	D	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	25	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Semih Şahin	0	-	4	-	7	2	1	-	False	90	8	M	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	20	1	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Simon Asta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Simon Simoni	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Kaiserslautern

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	3-0	31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	3-0	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Kaiserslautern

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 25.9%

Draw 23.6%

Away Win 50.5%

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

33.2%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

39.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.38

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.52

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)