Manchester City vs Real Madrid

UEFA Champions League

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

HT: 1–1

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

17 Mar 2026

21:00

Etihad Stadium

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 1 - 5

Stadium

Etihad Stadium

Manchester, England

Capacity: 55097 Surface: grass Address: Rowsley Street

Score Summary

Manchester City

1 2

FT HT 1–1

Real Madrid

E. Haaland 41'

22' Vinicius Junior
90' Vinicius Junior

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Manchester City 1611 1601 ▼ -10

52% Win

Real Madrid 1624 1633 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Manchester City 0.83 0.88 ▲ 0.06

33% Win

Real Madrid 0.75 0.83 ▲ 0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jérémy Doku

Manchester City

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

7.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Jérémy Doku

Manchester City

8.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Abdukodir Khusanov

Manchester City

7.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester City 53% Real Madrid 47%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

22 Shots 14

8 On Target 7

Form Context

Manchester City

W L W L W

Real Madrid

L W L W L

Smart Insight

Manchester City controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester City generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Real Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.5%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 30.3%

Expected Goals 1.75 - 1.42

Qualification %

Manchester City 0.0%

Real Madrid 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W