Qarabag vs Chelsea - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Qarabag

HT: 2–1

Chelsea

05 Nov 2025

18:45

Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Score Summary

Qarabag

2 2

FT HT 2–1

Chelsea

Leandro Andrade 29'
M. Jankovic 39'

16' Estevao
53' A. Garnacho

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Qarabag 1524 1524 — 0

50% Win

Chelsea 1522 1522 ▲ 0

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Qarabag -0.08 -0.69 ▼ -0.62

39% Win

Chelsea 0.21 0.81 ▲ 0.60

Top Performers

Top Rated

Estêvão

Chelsea

7.6

7.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Marko Janković

Qarabag

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Estêvão

Chelsea

7.6

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Matheus Silva

Qarabag

6.9

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Qarabag 43% Chelsea 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

39 Possession 61

9 Shots 16

3 On Target 4

Form Context

Qarabag

D L L W L

Chelsea

D W L W W

Smart Insight

Chelsea carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Chelsea produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.4%

Draw 25.6%

Away Win 38.0%

Expected Goals 1.57 - 1.61

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	2-2	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

39 Possession 61

3 Shots 4

9 Shots 16

1 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 8

3 Shots On Goal 4

9 Total Shots 16

39 Ball Possession 61

244 Passes Accurate 436

311 Total Passes 498

78% Passes % 88%

3 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

9 Fouls 19

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

2 Corner Kicks 8

7 Shots Insidebox 11

2 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.63 expected_goals 1.26

0 goals_prevented 0

Qarabag — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abbas Hüseynov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Abdellah Zoubir	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	True	75	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	25	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Bahlul Mustafazada	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Bədavi Hüseynov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	55	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Camilo Duran	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	61	17	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Chris Kouakou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dani Bolt	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	15	18	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elvin Jafarguliyev	0	3	1	2	4	2	-	-	False	75	44	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	25	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Emmanuel Addai	0	6	-	3	10	4	1	-	False	59	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fabijan Buntić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	97	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hikmat Cabrayilzada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kady Borges	0	2	-	-	5	3	-	3	False	31	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Medina	1	-	-	-	8	7	-	5	False	90	81	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	2
👤 Leandro Andrade	0	1	-	1	5	4	1	2	False	61	15	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	6	1	9	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Marko Janković	0	-	1	-	12	5	3	1	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	-	33	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	2	4
👤 Mateusz Kochalski	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	99	G	6.2	False	0	2	2	-	-	25	-	37	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Silva	1	2	2	1	13	9	1	1	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	5
👤 Nariman Akhundzade	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	2	False	29	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Oleksiy Kashchuk	0	1	2	1	3	1	-	-	False	15	21	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Pedro Bicalho	0	1	1	-	9	4	2	2	False	90	35	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Samy Mmaee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toral Bayramov	0	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	False	29	27	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	4	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	45	49	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Andrey Santos	1	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	45	17	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	19	1	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Enzo Fernández	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	False	45	8	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	34	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Estêvão	0	5	2	3	15	8	3	-	False	90	41	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	3	30	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Facundo Buonanotte	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	19	40	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Gittens	0	4	-	2	10	3	3	-	False	45	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Jorrel Hato	0	1	-	1	5	4	1	1	False	90	21	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	70	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Josh Acheampong	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Pedro	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	2	False	71	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Liam Delap	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	45	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Malo Gusto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	-	2	-	13	5	6	-	False	90	3	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marc Guiu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Merrick	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moisés Caicedo	1	1	2	1	8	2	3	-	False	82	25	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	54	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Reece James	1	-	2	-	6	3	1	1	True	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	1	-	-	30	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roméo Lavia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	45	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tosin Adarabioyo	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	1	77	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrique George	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	45	32	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wesley Fofana	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Qarabag and Chelsea

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	2-2	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag	2-2	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Qarabag and Chelsea

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.4%

Home Win

25.6%

Draw

38.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Qarabag 1.57

Chelsea 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Qarabag

Chelsea

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)