Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid

UEFA Champions League

Galatasaray

HT: 1–1

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

4' G. Simeone
20' M. Llorente

21 Jan 2026

18:45

Rams Park

Score Summary

Galatasaray

1 1

FT HT 1–1

Atletico Madrid

M. Llorente 20'

4' G. Simeone

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

37% Win

Galatasaray 1497 1499 ▲ 2

63% Win

Atletico Madrid 1592 1590 ▼ -3

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Galatasaray 0.06 -0.19 ▼ -0.25

32% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.24 0.17 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Abdülkerim Bardakcı

Galatasaray

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Giuliano Simeone

Atletico Madrid

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Yunus Akgün

Galatasaray

6.6

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Mario Lemina

Galatasaray

6.9

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Galatasaray 29% Atletico Madrid 71%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

7 Shots 15

2 On Target 5

Form Context

Galatasaray

W L L D L

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Atletico Madrid produced more shot pressure than expected.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.5%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 26.7%

Expected Goals 1.85 - 1.33

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

46 Possession 54

2 Shots 5

7 Shots 15

1 Offsides 0

2 Shots Off Goal 7

2 Shots On Goal 5

7 Total Shots 15

46 Ball Possession 54

368 Passes Accurate 444

443 Total Passes 521

83% Passes % 85%

3 Blocked Shots 3

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 4

4 Corner Kicks 7

3 Shots Insidebox 10

4 Shots Outsidebox 5

0.50 expected_goals 1.43

0 goals_prevented 0

Galatasaray — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdülkerim Bardakcı	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	-	True	90	42	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	2
👤 Ahmed Kutucu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Barış Alper Yılmaz	0	3	2	1	12	3	2	1	False	80	53	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	22	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Batuhan Şen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davinson Sánchez	0	-	2	-	11	5	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Eren Elmalı	0	1	2	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	17	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Eyüp Karasu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	67	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Furkan Koçak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	68	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Sara	0	1	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	25	8	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Günay Güvenç	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ismail Jakobs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	4	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kaan Ayhan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leroy Sané	0	2	2	1	11	5	-	-	False	90	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Lucas Torreira	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	3	False	88	34	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Mario Lemina	1	1	2	1	10	7	1	-	False	90	99	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	66	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	3
👤 Mauro Icardi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roland Sallai	1	-	-	-	8	7	1	3	False	90	7	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Uğurcan Çakır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	1	3	-	-	33	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Osimhen	1	1	-	1	11	7	3	2	False	90	45	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yunus Akgün	0	1	3	-	6	1	-	-	False	65	11	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	3	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Yusuf Dağhan Kahraman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	64	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yusuf Demir	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 İlkay Gündoğan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	20	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Baena	0	1	-	1	7	3	1	2	False	45	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	1	-	1	10	4	1	-	False	61	9	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	29	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	90	17	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	61	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Giuliano Simeone	1	3	3	2	13	6	2	2	False	90	20	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	36	3	47	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Iker Luque	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	24	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	34	5	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 José María Giménez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Díaz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	7	-	4	10	4	-	-	False	73	19	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	32	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Koke	0	2	-	1	5	4	-	-	True	56	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Marc Pubill	1	1	-	-	10	7	1	3	False	90	18	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	41	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	2	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	90	14	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	1	2	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	40	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Nicolás González	0	1	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	17	23	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pablo Barrios	1	2	-	2	3	2	1	-	False	56	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	1	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Rayane Belaid	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	34	24	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Taufik Seidu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	1	1	-	-	8	3	2	1	False	45	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Galatasaray and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	1-1	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray	1-1	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Galatasaray and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.5%

Home Win

24.8%

Draw

26.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Galatasaray 1.85

Atletico Madrid 1.33

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Galatasaray

Atletico Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)