Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Arsenal

Coach : F. Ljungberg

HT: 3–1

Kairat Almaty

28 Jan 2026

21:00

Emirates Stadium

Stadium

Emirates Stadium

London, England

Capacity: 60383 Surface: grass Address: Hornsey Road

Score Summary

Arsenal

3 2

FT HT 3–1

Kairat Almaty

7' Jorginho
90' Ricardinho

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

73% Win

Arsenal 1628 1633 ▲ 5

27% Win

Kairat Almaty 1452 1447 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

65% Win

Arsenal 1.07 0.94 ▼ -0.14

25% Win

Kairat Almaty -0.65 -0.71 ▼ -0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Kai Havertz

Arsenal

8.7

8.7 rating · 45 min

Most Clinical

Kai Havertz

Arsenal

8.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Eberechi Eze

Arsenal

7.2

6 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Luís Mata

Kairat Almaty

6.3

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arsenal 85% Kairat Almaty 15%

Key Stats Snapshot

66 Possession 34

25 Shots 4

11 On Target 2

Form Context

Arsenal

W W W W W

Kairat Almaty

L L L L L

Smart Insight

Arsenal controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Arsenal generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Arsenal after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.9%

Draw 22.9%

Away Win 19.2%

Expected Goals 2.05 - 1.12

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	3-2	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

66 Possession 34

11 Shots 2

25 Shots 4

2 Offsides 0

10 Shots Off Goal 2

11 Shots On Goal 2

25 Total Shots 4

66 Ball Possession 34

514 Passes Accurate 211

584 Total Passes 303

88% Passes % 70%

4 Blocked Shots 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 7

14 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

11 Corner Kicks 0

18 Shots Insidebox 3

7 Shots Outsidebox 1

4.06 expected_goals 1.11

0 goals_prevented 0

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ben White	0	1	-	1	8	5	1	-	True	90	4	D	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	47	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Brando Bailey-Joseph	0	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	13	81	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Bukayo Saka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Nørgaard	0	1	-	-	10	8	1	4	False	89	16	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	1	76	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	0	-	-	-	8	6	1	2	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	-	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Eberechi Eze	0	4	-	3	9	5	-	-	False	90	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	6	60	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Gabriel Jesus	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	13	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	1	3	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	0	10	-	5	14	7	-	-	False	77	11	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	4	29	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	1
👤 Ife Ibrahim	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	1	72	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jack Porter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	78	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kai Havertz	0	1	-	1	8	3	2	-	False	45	29	M	8.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	15	4	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.2	False	0	2	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marli Salmon	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	89	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Ødegaard	0	3	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	45	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	39	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Martín Zubimendi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	0	-	1	-	9	3	4	-	False	90	49	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	2	69	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Noni Madueke	0	11	2	7	18	11	1	2	False	90	20	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	43	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Piero Hincapié	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	45	5	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Riccardo Calafiori	1	1	-	1	4	2	2	-	False	45	33	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	37	1	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Tommy Setford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	0	4	-	2	11	4	1	1	False	77	14	F	6.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	8	3	10	-	-	-	3	5	-	-	-

Kairat Almaty — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adilet Sadybekov	0	1	3	1	14	7	-	2	False	90	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	32	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Aleksandr Martynovich	0	-	4	-	10	6	-	2	True	90	14	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3
👤 Aleksandr Mrynskiy	0	1	4	1	8	2	-	1	False	90	24	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Aleksandr Shirobokov	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	25	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Damir Kasabulat	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	20	4	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Glazer	0	-	3	-	6	2	-	-	False	70	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	23	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Danila Buch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmilson	0	-	-	-	12	3	4	-	False	59	26	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Egor Sorokin	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	80	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	39	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Erkin Tapalov	0	1	1	1	10	7	1	-	False	59	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	16	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Jorginho	1	2	1	-	14	6	1	5	False	79	7	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	-	17	-	-	1	1	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jug Stanojev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lev Kurgin	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	20	5	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luís Mata	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	False	70	3	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Ramazan Bagdat	0	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	11	89	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ricardinho	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	31	99	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Sherkhan Kalmurza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Temirlan Anarbekov	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	77	G	7.3	False	0	3	7	-	-	11	-	31	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Valeriy Gromyko	0	1	1	1	8	5	2	3	False	31	55	M	7.5	True	1	0	-	-	-	6	1	11	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arsenal and Kairat Almaty

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	3-2	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty	3-2	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arsenal and Kairat Almaty

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.9%

Home Win

22.9%

Draw

19.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arsenal 2.05

Kairat Almaty 1.12

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arsenal

Kairat Almaty

Emirates Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)