Atalanta vs Athletic Club - Football Platform

UEFA Champions League

Atalanta

HT: 1–0

Athletic Club

21 Jan 2026

21:00

New Balance Arena

Score Summary

Atalanta

2 3

FT HT 1–0

Athletic Club

G. Scamacca 16'
N. Krstovic 88'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

60% Win

Atalanta 1546 1535 ▼ -12

40% Win

Athletic Club 1479 1491 ▲ 12

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

Atalanta 0.46 0.37 ▼ -0.09

31% Win

Athletic Club 0.23 0.06 ▼ -0.17

Top Performers

Top Rated

Robert Navarro

Athletic Club

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Gianluca Scamacca

Atalanta

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Robert Navarro

Athletic Club

9.2

3 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Sead Kolašinac

Atalanta

5.9

1 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atalanta 57% Athletic Club 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

70 Possession 30

14 Shots 4

4 On Target 3

Form Context

Atalanta

W W W L L

Athletic Club

L D D W L

Smart Insight

Atalanta controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Atalanta generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Athletic Club after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.1%

Draw 24.7%

Away Win 26.2%

Expected Goals 1.86 - 1.32

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

70 Possession 30

4 Shots 3

14 Shots 4

4 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 1

4 Shots On Goal 3

14 Total Shots 4

70 Ball Possession 30

567 Passes Accurate 192

671 Total Passes 292

85% Passes % 66%

3 Blocked Shots 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

8 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 2

9 Shots Insidebox 4

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

2.02 expected_goals 1.74

-0.03 goals_prevented -0.03

Atalanta — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ademola Lookman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	25	11	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	7	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Berat Djimsiti	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	90	19	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	108	-	113	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Charles De Ketelaere	0	2	-	-	6	1	-	-	False	90	17	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	31	3	44	-	-	-	-	2	-	3	-
👤 Daniel Maldini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	70	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Davide Zappacosta	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	76	77	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	51	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Francesco Rossi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gianluca Scamacca	0	1	-	-	11	6	2	4	False	66	9	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	2	6	-	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Giorgio Scalvini	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Honest Ahanor	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	14	69	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Isak Hien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamaldeen Sulemana	0	3	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	8	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lazar Samardžić	0	3	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	14	10	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	2	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lorenzo Bernasconi	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	82	47	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	44	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Marco Carnesecchi	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	29	G	6.2	False	0	3	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Sportiello	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	57	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mario Pašalić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marten de Roon	0	-	1	-	8	6	-	-	True	90	15	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Nicola Zalewski	0	4	1	1	20	11	1	9	False	65	59	F	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	12	3	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nikola Krstović	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	False	24	90	F	7	True	0	0	-	1	1	1	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Odilon Kossounou	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Sead Kolašinac	0	-	2	-	7	3	1	-	False	76	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	68	-	-	-	-	1	-	5	1
👤 Yunus Musah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Éderson	0	3	2	-	14	5	1	1	False	90	13	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	69	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4

Athletic Club — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adama Boiro	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	19	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adrian Perez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aitor Paredes	0	-	1	-	10	4	3	-	False	90	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Alejandro Rego	0	1	-	1	5	3	1	-	False	59	30	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Alex Padilla	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andoni Gorosabel	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	81	2	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Asier Hierro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Vivian	1	-	-	-	10	5	4	1	False	90	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 Gorka Guruzeta	0	3	-	1	18	9	1	2	False	90	11	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Ibon Sánchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	31	16	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jesús Areso	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	12	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jon de Luis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Jauregizar	1	-	1	-	9	4	4	1	False	59	18	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Mikel Santos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Vesga	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	31	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nico Serrano	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	22	22	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Oihan Sancet	0	2	-	2	6	2	-	-	False	45	8	M	6.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	9	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Navarro	0	5	-	1	11	5	-	-	False	90	23	F	9.2	False	2	0	-	1	1	15	3	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Selton Sanchez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Gómez	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	68	20	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Unai Simón	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	2	2	-	-	13	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Íñigo Lekue	0	1	-	1	7	4	2	-	True	90	15	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atalanta and Athletic Club

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta	2-3	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club	2-3	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atalanta and Athletic Club

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.1%

Home Win

24.7%

Draw

26.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atalanta 1.86

Athletic Club 1.32

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atalanta

Athletic Club

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)