Real Madrid vs Manchester City

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

HT: 1–2

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

10 Dec 2025

21:00

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Stadium

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Madrid, Spain

Capacity: 85454 Surface: grass Address: Avenida de Concha Espina 1, Chamartín

Score Summary

Real Madrid

1 2

FT HT 1–2

Manchester City

Rodrygo 28'

35' N. O'Reilly
43' E. Haaland

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Real Madrid 1564 1554 ▼ -10

49% Win

Manchester City 1560 1570 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

Real Madrid 0.90 0.83 ▼ -0.07

30% Win

Manchester City 0.61 0.88 ▲ 0.27

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rodrygo

Real Madrid

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Rodrygo

Real Madrid

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Rodrygo

Real Madrid

8.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Álvaro Carreras

Real Madrid

6.3

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Madrid 11% Manchester City 89%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

16 Shots 12

1 On Target 8

Form Context

Real Madrid

L W L W L

Manchester City

W L W L W

Smart Insight

Manchester City carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Real Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Manchester City after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 50.7%

Draw 24.4%

Away Win 24.8%

Expected Goals 1.89 - 1.28

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

52 Possession 48

1 Shots 8

16 Shots 12

0 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 0

1 Shots On Goal 8

16 Total Shots 12

52 Ball Possession 48

371 Passes Accurate 361

438 Total Passes 416

85% Passes % 87%

8 Blocked Shots 4

6 Goalkeeper Saves 0

14 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

3 Corner Kicks 3

10 Shots Insidebox 10

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.50 expected_goals 2.60

0 goals_prevented 0

Real Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andriy Lunin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Rüdiger	1	-	1	-	6	2	2	-	False	90	22	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	43	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Arda Güler	0	-	2	-	7	4	1	1	False	32	15	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Aurélien Tchouaméni	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	90	14	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	58	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	1
👤 Brahim Díaz	0	1	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	23	21	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Dani Ceballos	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	67	19	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Endrick	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Federico Valverde	0	-	3	-	8	4	-	3	True	90	8	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Fran García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franco Mastantuono	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonzalo García	0	2	-	-	7	1	2	-	False	58	16	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joan Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorge Cestero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jude Bellingham	0	4	-	2	17	9	2	2	False	90	5	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	29	3	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Kylian Mbappé	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raúl Asencio	0	-	1	-	4	2	1	2	False	79	17	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Rodrygo	1	6	1	3	15	7	2	4	False	90	11	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	5	30	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Thibaut Courtois	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	2	6	-	-	23	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Júnior	0	1	-	1	8	4	-	2	False	90	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	22	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	1
👤 Víctor Valdepeñas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álvaro Carreras	1	2	4	1	16	6	3	-	False	90	18	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdukodir Khusanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bernardo Silva	1	3	1	1	10	2	3	1	True	90	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Erling Haaland	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	2	False	70	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	3	-	5	-	-	1	1	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	6	False	0	1	-	-	-	9	1	20	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joško Gvardiol	0	-	-	-	9	6	1	-	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	55	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	1	3
👤 Jérémy Doku	0	10	-	6	19	11	3	3	False	87	11	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	23	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Marcus Bettinelli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Nunes	0	1	-	-	13	9	2	3	False	90	27	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	62	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Nathan Aké	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	6	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	0	-	2	-	12	6	2	1	False	90	14	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	59	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Nico O'Reilly	1	1	-	1	10	5	2	-	False	90	33	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	32	1	35	-	-	0	-	1	1	2	1	3
👤 Omar Marmoush	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	20	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oscar Bobb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	52	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Foden	1	-	1	-	3	1	1	1	False	70	47	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	25	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Aït-Nouri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Cherki	0	1	-	1	6	3	1	1	False	71	10	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	2	38	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Rico Lewis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rúben Dias	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	47	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Savinho	0	3	1	3	10	7	-	2	False	19	26	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	1	2	1	3	1	-	-	False	20	4	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Manchester City

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City	1-2	8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid	1-2	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Real Madrid and Manchester City

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.7%

Home Win

24.4%

Draw

24.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Real Madrid 1.89

Manchester City 1.28

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Real Madrid

Manchester City

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)