Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

HT: 1–0

Union St. Gilloise

04 Nov 2025

21:00

Metropolitano Stadium

Score Summary

Atletico Madrid

3 1

FT HT 1–0

Union St. Gilloise

80' R. Sykes

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

Atletico Madrid 1537 1546 ▲ 9

44% Win

Union St. Gilloise 1495 1491 ▼ -4

xPi Expected win probability

61% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.40 0.17 ▼ -0.23

28% Win

Union St. Gilloise -0.21 -0.20 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Julián Alvarez

Atletico Madrid

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Alex Baena

Atletico Madrid

6.9

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Matteo Ruggeri

Atletico Madrid

6.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Atletico Madrid 67% Union St. Gilloise 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

67 Possession 33

14 Shots 8

6 On Target 3

Form Context

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Union St. Gilloise

L W L L W

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Atletico Madrid generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.6%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 27.5%

Expected Goals 1.82 - 1.35

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

67 Possession 33

6 Shots 3

14 Shots 8

1 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 3

14 Total Shots 8

67 Ball Possession 33

577 Passes Accurate 258

649 Total Passes 324

89% Passes % 80%

3 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

9 Corner Kicks 1

12 Shots Insidebox 6

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.30 expected_goals 1.11

0 goals_prevented 0

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Baena	0	1	-	-	6	2	2	2	False	62	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	38	3	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	2	-	-	9	4	-	1	False	28	9	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	62	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Clément Lenglet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	0	1	-	-	5	3	2	1	False	28	4	M	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	15	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	2	-	9	4	-	1	False	90	17	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	1	83	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	0	8	2	3	16	5	-	2	False	88	20	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	30	1	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	13	G	6.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	23	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 José María Giménez	0	1	1	1	9	7	-	-	False	64	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	47	-	-	-	-	2	1	3	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	-	1	-	5	-	1	-	False	90	19	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	-	29	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Koke	0	1	1	-	8	4	-	1	True	62	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	67	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Llorente	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	14	M	7	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	0	-	2	-	12	6	2	-	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Nahuel Molina	1	-	-	-	6	2	2	-	False	90	16	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Pablo Barrios	0	5	-	3	12	9	-	3	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	26	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	2	-	6	1	-	-	False	28	11	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1

Union St. Gilloise — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adem Zorgane	0	2	-	1	8	4	1	-	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Anan Khalaili	0	2	-	1	10	8	-	-	False	85	25	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Anouar Ait El Hadj	0	3	1	2	5	3	-	1	False	74	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Burgess	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	True	90	16	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Fedde Leysen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guilherme Smith	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamiel Van De Perre	1	-	-	-	6	3	3	-	False	74	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Kevin Mac Allister	1	-	-	-	12	9	2	3	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Kevin Rodriguez	0	4	-	3	19	12	1	2	False	74	13	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Kjell Scherpen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	37	G	7.6	False	0	3	3	-	-	17	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Patris	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	12	27	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Mamadou Barry	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Giger	0	2	-	1	5	2	-	-	False	16	20	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mathias Rasmussen	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	16	4	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ousseynou Niang	1	4	4	2	14	6	1	2	False	90	22	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Promise David	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	30	12	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Raul Florucz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rob Schoofs	0	-	2	-	6	-	2	-	False	60	17	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ross Sykes	0	-	1	-	9	3	1	-	False	90	26	D	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	20	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Sofiane Boufal	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	16	23	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Vic Chambaere	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Union St. Gilloise

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	3-1	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise	3-1	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Atletico Madrid and Union St. Gilloise

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.6%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

27.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.82

Union St. Gilloise 1.35

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Atletico Madrid

Union St. Gilloise

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)