Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille

UEFA Champions League

Union St. Gilloise

HT: 1–2

Marseille

09 Dec 2025

21:00

Lotto Park

Score Summary

Union St. Gilloise

2 3

FT HT 1–2

Marseille

A. Khalaili 5'
A. Khalaili 71'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Union St. Gilloise 1496 1489 ▼ -7

54% Win

Marseille 1525 1534 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

32% Win

Union St. Gilloise -0.18 -0.20 ▼ -0.01

52% Win

Marseille 0.40 0.28 ▼ -0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Anan Khalaili

Union St. Gilloise

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Anan Khalaili

Union St. Gilloise

9.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Anan Khalaili

Union St. Gilloise

9.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Kamiel Van De Perre

Union St. Gilloise

7.5

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Union St. Gilloise 55% Marseille 45%

Key Stats Snapshot

41 Possession 59

8 Shots 10

6 On Target 5

Form Context

Union St. Gilloise

L W L L W

Marseille

L W W L L

Smart Insight

Union St. Gilloise controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Marseille produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Marseille after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 27.5%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 47.5%

Expected Goals 1.35 - 1.82

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

41 Possession 59

6 Shots 5

8 Shots 10

10 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 2

6 Shots On Goal 5

8 Total Shots 10

41 Ball Possession 59

338 Passes Accurate 540

409 Total Passes 608

83% Passes % 89%

0 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

10 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 1

2 Corner Kicks 3

5 Shots Insidebox 7

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.66 expected_goals 1.46

0 goals_prevented 0

Union St. Gilloise — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adem Zorgane	1	1	1	1	7	4	-	1	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Anan Khalaili	0	2	2	1	12	5	1	-	False	90	25	M	9.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	31	3	39	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	4
👤 Anouar Ait El Hadj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Burgess	1	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	True	90	16	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Fedde Leysen	0	-	2	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	48	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Guilherme Smith	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamiel Van De Perre	0	1	-	1	9	9	-	2	False	82	6	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Kevin Mac Allister	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	40	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Kevin Rodriguez	0	5	1	2	16	8	1	2	False	82	13	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	9	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kjell Scherpen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	37	G	6.3	False	0	3	2	-	-	20	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Patris	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mamadou Barry	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marc Giger	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	20	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Rasmussen	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	4	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ousseynou Niang	1	-	2	-	12	5	3	2	False	89	22	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	4	17	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Promise David	1	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	26	12	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	2	1	4	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Raul Florucz	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	False	64	30	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rob Schoofs	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	64	17	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	20	1	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 Ross Sykes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	26	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sofiane Boufal	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	26	23	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Vic Chambaere	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Marseille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amir Murillo	0	3	-	2	9	6	1	2	False	90	62	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	1	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Angel Gomes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Vermeeren	0	-	2	-	9	4	1	1	False	90	18	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	79	-	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Benjamin Pavard	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bilal Nadir	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	21	26	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Darryl Bakola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	50	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emerson Palmieri	0	1	1	1	6	3	-	-	False	90	33	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Geoffrey Kondogbia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	19	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gerónimo Rulli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	4	-	-	26	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Paixão	0	3	-	1	9	5	-	2	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	1	23	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Jeffrey de Lange	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jelle Van Neck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Balerdi	0	-	1	-	5	-	2	-	False	45	5	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Mason Greenwood	0	3	-	2	11	5	1	3	False	88	10	F	9	False	0	0	-	2	-	31	-	37	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	1	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	69	17	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	33	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nayef Aguerd	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	-	False	90	21	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	-	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	2
👤 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	0	1	-	1	5	2	1	1	False	88	97	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	True	90	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	89	-	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Robinio Vaz	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	2	34	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tadjidine Mmadi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	76	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timothy Weah	1	5	-	3	9	5	1	-	False	45	22	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	23	1	26	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Ulisses Garcia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Union St. Gilloise and Marseille

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid		8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille	2-3	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise	2-3	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven		8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Union St. Gilloise and Marseille

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

27.5%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

47.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Union St. Gilloise 1.35

Marseille 1.82

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Union St. Gilloise

Marseille

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)