PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid

UEFA Champions League

PSV Eindhoven

HT: 1–1

Atletico Madrid

Coach : D. Simeone

10' G. Til
37' J. Alvarez
52' D. Hancko
56' A. Sorloth
85' R. Pepi

09 Dec 2025

21:00

Philips Stadion

Score Summary

PSV Eindhoven

2 3

FT HT 1–1

Atletico Madrid

G. Til 10'
R. Pepi 85'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

PSV Eindhoven 1505 1499 ▼ -6

57% Win

Atletico Madrid 1556 1565 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

PSV Eindhoven 0.02 -0.06 ▼ -0.08

32% Win

Atletico Madrid 0.32 0.17 ▼ -0.15

Top Performers

Top Rated

Alexander Sørloth

Atletico Madrid

8.5

8.5 rating · 76 min

Most Clinical

Guus Til

PSV Eindhoven

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Couhaib Driouech

PSV Eindhoven

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Anass Salah-Eddine

PSV Eindhoven

7.7

8 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

PSV Eindhoven 25% Atletico Madrid 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

13 Shots 15

3 On Target 9

Form Context

PSV Eindhoven

D W L L L

Atletico Madrid

W W W D L

Smart Insight

Atletico Madrid carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Atletico Madrid after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.5%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 26.7%

Expected Goals 1.84 - 1.33

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea	16	D W L W W

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

53 Possession 47

3 Shots 9

13 Shots 15

2 Offsides 3

7 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 9

13 Total Shots 15

53 Ball Possession 47

406 Passes Accurate 369

486 Total Passes 445

84% Passes % 83%

3 Blocked Shots 2

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 3

9 Corner Kicks 5

9 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 7

2.67 expected_goals 2.23

0.09 goals_prevented 0.09

PSV Eindhoven — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adamo Nagalo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anass Salah-Eddine	0	1	-	1	17	13	3	3	False	90	2	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	8
👤 Armando Obispo	0	-	-	-	9	4	-	1	False	31	4	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	21	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Couhaib Driouech	0	1	2	1	4	2	-	-	False	81	11	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	3	29	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	1
👤 Dennis Man	0	2	1	1	9	4	-	2	False	31	27	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Esmir Bajraktarević	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Guus Til	0	1	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	73	20	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	12	2	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Ismael Saibari	1	1	1	-	9	1	3	1	False	90	34	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Perišić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	5	F	7.5	True	1	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jerdy Schouten	1	1	-	1	11	5	1	2	True	90	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Joey Veerman	0	-	3	-	4	1	-	1	False	90	23	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	3	80	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kiliann Sildillia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matěj Kovář	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	32	G	6	False	0	3	6	-	-	18	1	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mauro Júnior	1	4	1	3	16	10	1	1	False	90	17	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Nick Olij	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niek Schiks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Fernandez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Wanner	0	-	1	-	7	3	1	1	False	59	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ricardo Pepi	0	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	17	9	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	1	1	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Flamingo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergiño Dest	0	5	-	1	11	4	-	-	False	90	8	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	1	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Yarek Gasiorowski	1	-	1	-	4	1	1	1	False	59	3	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-

Atletico Madrid — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Sørloth	0	1	-	1	11	8	2	-	False	76	9	F	8.5	False	1	0	-	1	2	21	3	30	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Antoine Griezmann	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	14	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Carlos Martín	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Conor Gallagher	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	21	4	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Dani Martinez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Hancko	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	17	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	44	-	46	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Giacomo Raspadori	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Giuliano Simeone	1	7	1	3	15	6	2	2	False	89	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Jan Oblak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.2	False	0	2	1	-	-	26	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javi Galán	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Boñar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johnny Cardoso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Juan Musso	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Alvarez	0	5	2	2	17	5	2	1	False	90	19	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	4	38	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Koke	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	1	True	76	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marc Pubill	0	-	-	-	7	5	1	1	False	90	18	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	2
👤 Matteo Ruggeri	1	2	2	1	14	8	2	-	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nahuel Molina	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	16	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	42	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Nicolás González	0	-	2	-	12	7	2	2	False	69	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	4
👤 Pablo Barrios	1	6	-	4	13	7	2	2	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	30	1	35	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Robin Le Normand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	24	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Salvador Esquivel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thiago Almada	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	14	11	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		8	8	0	0	23	4	19	24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München		8	7	0	1	22	8	14	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		8	6	0	2	20	8	12	18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		8	5	1	2	22	14	8	16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		8	5	1	2	17	10	7	16	D W L W W
7	Sporting CP		8	5	1	2	17	11	6	16	D W L W W
8	Manchester City		8	5	1	2	15	9	6	16	W L W L W
9	Real Madrid		8	5	0	3	21	12	9	15	L W L W L
10	Inter		8	5	0	3	15	7	8	15	W L L L W
11	Paris Saint Germain		8	4	2	2	21	11	10	14	L W D L D
12	Newcastle		8	4	2	2	17	7	10	14	W L D W D
13	Juventus		8	3	4	1	14	10	4	13	D W W W D
14	Atletico Madrid	2-3	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	13	W W W D L
15	Atalanta		8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13	W W W L L
16	Bayer Leverkusen		8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12	W W D L W
17	Borussia Dortmund		8	3	2	3	19	17	2	11	L W D L L
18	Olympiakos Piraeus		8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11	D L W W W
19	Club Brugge KV		8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10	D L L W W
20	Galatasaray		8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10	W L L D L
21	Monaco		8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10	W D W L D
22	Qarabag		8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10	D L L W L
23	Bodo/Glimt		8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9	L L D W W
24	Benfica		8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9	L W W L W
25	Marseille		8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9	L W W L L
26	Pafos		8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9	W D L L W
27	Union St. Gilloise		8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9	L W L L W
28	PSV Eindhoven	2-3	8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8	D W L L L
29	Athletic Club		8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8	L D D W L
30	Napoli		8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8	D W L D L
31	FC Copenhagen		8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8	L W W D L
32	Ajax		8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6	L L W W L
33	Eintracht Frankfurt		8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4	D L L L L
34	Slavia Praha		8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3	L D L L L
35	Villarreal		8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1	L L L L L
36	Kairat Almaty		8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: PSV Eindhoven and Atletico Madrid

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	8	27	1
2	Bayern München	8	22	2
3	Liverpool	8	18	3
4	Tottenham	8	17	4
5	Barcelona	8	16	5
6	Chelsea	8	16	6
7	Sporting CP	8	16	7
8	Manchester City	8	16	8
9	Real Madrid	8	15	10
10	Inter	8	15	11
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	15	9
12	Newcastle	8	14	12
13	Juventus	8	13	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13	13
15	Atalanta	8	13	15
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12	16
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11	17
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11	18
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10	19
20	Galatasaray	8	10	20
21	Monaco	8	10	21
22	Qarabag	8	10	22
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9	23
24	Benfica	8	9	24
25	Marseille	8	9	25
26	Pafos	8	9	26
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9	27
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	28
29	Athletic Club	8	8	29
30	Napoli	8	8	30
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8	31
32	Ajax	8	6	32
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	33
34	Slavia Praha	8	3	34
35	Villarreal	8	1	35
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1	36

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.5%

Home Win

24.8%

Draw

26.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

PSV Eindhoven 1.84

Atletico Madrid 1.33

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

PSV Eindhoven

Atletico Madrid

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)