Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk - Football Platform

Europa League

Genk

19 Feb 2026

18:45

Stadion Maksimir

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 6

Score Summary

Dinamo Zagreb

1 3

FT HT 1–2

Genk

D. Beljo 44'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Dinamo Zagreb 1495 1488 ▼ -7

54% Win

Genk 1523 1532 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Dinamo Zagreb 0.04 -0.04 ▼ -0.08

34% Win

Genk 0.05 0.14 ▲ 0.09

Top Performers

Top Rated

Zakaria El Ouahdi

Genk

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Zakaria El Ouahdi

Genk

9.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Fran Topić

Dinamo Zagreb

7.3

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Luka Stojković

Dinamo Zagreb

6.2

1 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Dinamo Zagreb 25% Genk 75%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

8 Shots 12

2 On Target 6

Form Context

Dinamo Zagreb

L L L W L

Genk

W W L W W

Smart Insight

Genk carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Genk produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Genk after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.0%

Draw 27.9%

Away Win 28.2%

Expected Goals 1.51 - 1.17

Qualification %

Dinamo Zagreb 0.0%

Genk 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

55 Possession 45

2 Shots 6

8 Shots 12

0 Offsides 4

2 Shots Off Goal 1

2 Shots On Goal 6

8 Total Shots 12

55 Ball Possession 45

530 Passes Accurate 432

594 Total Passes 506

89% Passes % 85%

4 Blocked Shots 5

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

4 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

4 Corner Kicks 3

7 Shots Insidebox 10

1 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.53 expected_goals 1.42

0 goals_prevented 0

Dinamo Zagreb — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arber Hoxha	0	3	-	2	9	7	-	2	False	71	11	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Bruno Goda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cardoso Varela	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	19	23	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dion Drena Beljo	1	1	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	80	9	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Livaković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	40	G	6.3	False	0	3	3	-	-	32	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran Topić	0	1	-	1	8	5	-	1	False	70	30	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	3	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Gabriel Vidović	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	19	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ivan Filipović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josip Mišić	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	True	90	27	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	80	-	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kévin Théophile-Catherine	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luka Stojković	0	2	-	2	8	5	-	1	False	79	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	1
👤 Marko Soldo	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	14	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Lisica	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	20	21	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Pérez Vinlöf	0	2	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	90	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Miha Zajc	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	71	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Monsef Bakrar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	71	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moris Valinčić	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	25	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Niko Galešić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Horvat	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Scott McKenna	0	-	1	-	10	6	1	-	False	90	26	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	79	1	84	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Sergi Domínguez	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	-	False	90	36	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	-	85	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	2

Genk — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Bibout	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	60	23	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adrian Palacios	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Heynen	-	1	-	8	5	1	1	True	90	8	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	41	1	48	-	-	-	1	1	2	3	2
👤 Daan Heymans	-	-	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	38	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	31	2	40	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	2
👤 Emile Doucouré	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	97	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hendrik Van Crombrugge	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	20	21	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarne Steuckers	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	70	7	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Joris Kayembe	1	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	18	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	69	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Junya Ito	1	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	70	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	20	2	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Jusef Erabi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ken Nkuba	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konstantinos Karetsas	4	1	-	9	2	-	1	False	88	20	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	2	26	2	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Matte Smets	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	90	6	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	92	-	101	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Mujaid Sadick	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	65	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Nikolas Sattlberger	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	32	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Mirisola	1	-	-	12	4	-	2	False	30	29	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Okiki Lawal	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	6.9	False	0	1	1	-	-	15	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yaimar Medina	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yira Collins Sor	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	20	14	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Zakaria El Ouahdi	2	1	1	7	4	-	-	False	90	77	D	9	False	0	0	-	2	-	27	1	31	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	3

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Dinamo Zagreb and Genk

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk	1-3	8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb	1-3	8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Dinamo Zagreb

0.0%

Genk

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 Genk

Current aggregate: 4-6

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.0%

Home Win

27.9%

Draw

28.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Dinamo Zagreb 1.51

Genk 1.17

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Dinamo Zagreb

Genk

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)