Genk vs Dinamo Zagreb - Football Platform

AET

Europa League

Dinamo Zagreb

26 Feb 2026

21:00

Cegeka Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 6 - 4

Score Summary

Genk

3 3

AET HT 0–1

Dinamo Zagreb

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

Genk 1532 1531 ▼ -1

44% Win

Dinamo Zagreb 1488 1489 ▲ 1

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Genk 0.07 0.14 ▲ 0.07

34% Win

Dinamo Zagreb 0.03 -0.04 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Dominik Livaković

Dinamo Zagreb

8.0

8.0 rating · 120 min

Most Clinical

Luka Stojković

Dinamo Zagreb

7.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Junya Ito

Genk

7.7

7 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Josip Mišić

Dinamo Zagreb

7.6

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Genk 57% Dinamo Zagreb 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

22 Shots 17

8 On Target 6

Form Context

Genk

W W L W W

Dinamo Zagreb

L L L W L

Smart Insight

Genk controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Genk generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.6%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 27.6%

Expected Goals 1.53 - 1.16

Qualification %

Genk 100.0%

Dinamo Zagreb 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

47 Possession 53

8 Shots 6

22 Shots 17

2 Offsides 3

7 Shots Off Goal 4

8 Shots On Goal 6

22 Total Shots 17

47 Ball Possession 53

467 Passes Accurate 515

537 Total Passes 615

87% Passes % 84%

7 Blocked Shots 7

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

12 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 3

8 Corner Kicks 7

18 Shots Insidebox 6

4 Shots Outsidebox 11

3.41 expected_goals 1.61

0 goals_prevented 0

Genk — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Bibout	0	1	1	-	10	4	-	-	False	58	23	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Adrian Palacios	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayumu Yokoyama	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Heynen	0	-	1	-	14	9	1	2	True	120	8	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	47	3	56	-	-	-	-	1	3	3	1
👤 Daan Heymans	1	1	1	-	15	6	2	-	False	120	38	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	35	3	43	-	-	-	2	6	-	-	1
👤 Hendrik Van Crombrugge	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura	0	-	2	-	11	4	3	-	False	81	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Jarne Steuckers	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	18	7	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joris Kayembe	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	62	18	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Junya Ito	0	1	-	1	4	3	1	1	False	102	10	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	2	22	7	25	1	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Jusef Erabi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ken Nkuba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucca Brughmans	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matte Smets	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	1	False	120	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	83	1	94	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Mujaid Sadick	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	-	False	120	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Nikolas Sattlberger	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	39	24	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	17	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	18	32	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robin Mirisola	0	1	-	1	7	4	1	2	False	62	29	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Tobias Okiki Lawal	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	120	26	G	5.2	False	0	3	3	-	-	26	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yaimar Medina	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	58	19	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Yira Collins Sor	0	2	-	1	11	4	-	1	False	102	14	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	1	28	-	-	-	2	3	1	1	1
👤 Zakaria El Ouahdi	0	6	3	3	16	8	2	1	False	120	77	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2

Dinamo Zagreb — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bruno Goda	0	0	-	2	-	4	1	-	-	False	66	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Cardoso Varela	0	0	2	1	1	5	2	1	-	False	46	23	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Livaković	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	120	40	G	8	False	0	3	5	-	-	41	-	53	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fran Topić	0	0	2	-	1	8	5	-	3	False	74	30	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	28	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Vidović	0	0	2	-	1	7	4	-	2	False	74	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	29	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ivan Filipović	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nevistić	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josip Mišić	0	1	1	1	1	13	10	1	2	True	118	27	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	2	84	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Luka Stojković	1	0	4	1	2	17	7	3	2	False	105	7	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	2	-	47	1	53	-	-	1	-	2	3	-	1	2
👤 Marko Soldo	0	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	16	14	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Zebić	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	3	42	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Lisica	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	46	21	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	14	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matteo Pérez Vinlöf	0	0	1	-	1	7	4	1	1	False	54	22	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Miha Zajc	0	1	-	3	-	8	3	-	-	False	104	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	39	1	44	-	-	0	-	1	1	2	-	-
👤 Monsef Bakrar	0	0	2	1	1	12	5	2	1	False	120	71	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	13	1	22	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Moris Valinčić	0	0	3	-	1	14	5	1	-	False	120	25	D	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	37	2	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Niko Galešić	0	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	117	15	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	88	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Noa Mikić	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Scott McKenna	0	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	-	False	120	26	D	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	79	-	-	0	-	-	-	3	1	2
👤 Sven Šunta	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	41	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Genk and Dinamo Zagreb

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk	3-3	8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb	3-3	8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Genk

100.0%

Dinamo Zagreb

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 Genk

Current aggregate: 4-6

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.6%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

27.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Genk 1.53

Dinamo Zagreb 1.16

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Genk

Dinamo Zagreb

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)