Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda - Football Platform

Europa League

FK Crvena Zvezda

45' F. Tebo Uchenna

19 Feb 2026

21:00

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 1 - 1

Score Summary

Lille

0 1

FT HT 0–1

FK Crvena Zvezda

45' F. Tebo Uchenna

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

Lille 1500 1491 ▼ -9

55% Win

FK Crvena Zvezda 1532 1541 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Lille 0.26 0.30 ▲ 0.05

31% Win

FK Crvena Zvezda -0.08 0.04 ▲ 0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Franklin Tebo

FK Crvena Zvezda

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Franklin Tebo

FK Crvena Zvezda

9.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Tomás Händel

FK Crvena Zvezda

7.0

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Rade Krunić

FK Crvena Zvezda

7.2

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Lille 20% FK Crvena Zvezda 80%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

7 Shots 8

1 On Target 4

Form Context

Lille

L W L L W

FK Crvena Zvezda

W W W W D

Smart Insight

FK Crvena Zvezda carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors FK Crvena Zvezda after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.8%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 23.3%

Expected Goals 1.63 - 1.05

Qualification %

Lille 100.0%

FK Crvena Zvezda 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

53 Possession 47

1 Shots 4

7 Shots 8

3 Offsides 2

3 Shots Off Goal 3

1 Shots On Goal 4

7 Total Shots 8

53 Ball Possession 47

339 Passes Accurate 313

445 Total Passes 402

76% Passes % 78%

3 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

15 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 7

3 Shots Insidebox 7

4 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.47 expected_goals 2.34

0 goals_prevented 0

Lille — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aissa Mandi	0	1	1	-	15	8	2	-	False	90	23	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	50	-	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Arnaud Bodart	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayyoub Bouaddi	0	1	-	1	15	10	2	4	False	90	32	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Benjamin André	0	-	2	-	14	7	2	1	True	90	21	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Berke Özer	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	23	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Calvin Verdonk	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chancel Mbemba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Félix Correia	1	-	1	-	6	3	1	2	False	77	27	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Gaëtan Perrin	0	2	-	1	9	2	2	-	False	62	28	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson	0	2	1	-	6	-	-	-	False	45	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lilian Baret	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matías Fernández	0	2	-	1	7	1	2	-	False	77	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxima Goffi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nabil Bentaleb	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	3	False	45	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nathan Ngoy	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	1	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	-
👤 Ngal'ayel Mukau	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	45	17	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Noah Edjouma	0	1	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	13	20	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Olivier Giroud	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	28	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Romain Perraud	0	4	-	3	6	4	1	-	False	90	15	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	32	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Saad Boussadia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Soriba Diaoune	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	35	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Santos	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	2	False	45	22	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Zadig Lanssade	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	60	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

FK Crvena Zvezda — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adem Avdić	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	13	71	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aleksandar Katai	0	-	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	13	10	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	4	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Duarte	0	3	-	1	13	5	1	1	False	77	17	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	21	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Franklin Tebo	0	-	-	-	13	10	2	3	False	90	30	D	9.5	False	0	-	1	-	34	-	43	-	-	-	2	2	1	3	2
👤 Jay Enem	0	1	-	1	8	5	1	1	False	64	42	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	8	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Luka Zaric	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mahmudu Bajo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Arnautović	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	26	89	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Matheus	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	1	-	-	22	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Miloš Veljković	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	13	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nair Tiknizyan	0	1	-	1	13	9	-	2	False	77	23	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	15	2	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Nikola Stanković	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	24	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Omri Glazer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Owusu Douglas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rade Krunić	0	-	3	-	13	8	-	2	True	90	33	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	29	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Rodrigão	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	46	1	56	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	1
👤 Stefan Gudelj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Strahinja Eraković	0	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	85	25	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tomás Händel	0	-	2	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	20	M	7	False	1	-	-	-	37	2	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Vasilije Kostov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vladimir Lučić	1	3	1	2	14	4	5	-	False	85	37	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	25	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Vuk Draškić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Young-woo Seol	1	1	1	-	7	4	-	4	False	90	66	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	2	28	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Lille and FK Crvena Zvezda

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	0-1	8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille	0-1	8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Lille

100.0%

FK Crvena Zvezda

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Lille 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda

Current aggregate: 1-1

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.8%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

23.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Lille 1.63

FK Crvena Zvezda 1.05

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Lille

FK Crvena Zvezda

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)