Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets - Football Platform

Europa League

Ludogorets

14' G. Kanichowsky
30' K. Zachariassen

26 Feb 2026

18:45

Groupama Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 3 - 2

Score Summary

Ferencvarosi TC

2 0

FT HT 2–0

Ludogorets

G. Kanichowsky 14'
K. Zachariassen 30'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Ferencvarosi TC 1522 1531 ▲ 10

48% Win

Ludogorets 1505 1496 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Ferencvarosi TC 0.10 0.08 ▼ -0.02

32% Win

Ludogorets -0.23 -0.25 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Lenny Joseph

Ferencvarosi TC

9.6

9.6 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Gabi Kanichowsky

Ferencvarosi TC

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Lenny Joseph

Ferencvarosi TC

9.6

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Toon Raemaekers

Ferencvarosi TC

7.2

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Ferencvarosi TC 73% Ludogorets 27%

Key Stats Snapshot

40 Possession 60

16 Shots 13

8 On Target 3

Form Context

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W D L

Ludogorets

L W D L W

Smart Insight

Ferencvarosi TC controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Ferencvarosi TC after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.3%

Draw 27.3%

Away Win 24.4%

Expected Goals 1.60 - 1.08

Qualification %

Ferencvarosi TC 100.0%

Ludogorets 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

40 Possession 60

8 Shots 3

16 Shots 13

3 Offsides 4

5 Shots Off Goal 9

8 Shots On Goal 3

16 Total Shots 13

40 Ball Possession 60

220 Passes Accurate 361

288 Total Passes 437

76% Passes % 83%

3 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

9 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 6

12 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.75 expected_goals 0.91

0 goals_prevented 0

Ferencvarosi TC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Barnabás Nagy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	77	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bence Ötvös	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	17	23	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cadu	0	1	2	1	9	6	-	1	False	90	20	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	1	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Cebrail Makreckis	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	25	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Csongor Lakatos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	71	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dávid Gróf	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	99	G	7.7	False	0	3	-	-	11	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Franko Kovačević	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabi Kanichowsky	1	1	2	1	7	3	2	2	False	90	36	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	34	-	39	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
👤 Gábor Szalai	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	22	22	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ibrahim Cissé	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	True	68	27	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Jonathan Levi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Júlio Romão	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	22	66	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kristoffer Zachariassen	0	-	3	-	14	7	-	3	False	73	16	M	7.6	True	0	-	1	-	9	2	16	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Lenny Joseph	1	7	-	4	21	15	1	2	False	89	75	F	9.6	False	1	-	-	1	13	5	21	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	2
👤 Mariano Gómez	1	-	1	-	9	5	3	1	False	90	4	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	24	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Mohammad Abu Fani	0	-	1	-	8	5	1	3	False	68	15	M	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	24	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Naby Keïta	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Toon Raemaekers	1	-	-	-	8	7	-	-	False	90	28	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	3	1	2	3
👤 Yusuf Bamidele	0	4	1	2	16	6	-	2	False	90	11	F	6.2	False	1	-	-	1	10	4	14	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	1
👤 Zalán Tóth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zsombor Gruber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ádám Madarász	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	72	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ádám Varga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Ludogorets — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Nedyalkov	1	3	3	1	8	2	-	-	True	89	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Bernard Tekpetey	1	1	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	25	37	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Caio Vidal	0	3	1	1	9	3	1	2	False	66	11	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	2	12	1	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Deroy Duarte	0	2	1	2	8	5	1	-	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Erick Marcus	0	2	1	-	11	3	2	1	False	65	77	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Filip Kaloč	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hendrik Bonmann	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	39	G	8	False	0	2	6	-	-	22	1	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Idan Nachmias	0	1	-	1	11	7	1	1	False	90	55	D	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	2	58	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Ivajlo Chochev	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	18	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Andersson	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kwadwo Duah	0	2	-	2	6	3	-	-	False	90	9	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	2	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	4	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Verdon	0	-	-	-	7	2	3	-	False	90	24	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	-	62	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Pedro Naressi	1	-	2	-	9	2	1	-	False	79	30	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	40	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	-
👤 Petar Stanić	1	8	-	3	20	9	3	4	False	90	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 Rwan Cruz	0	-	-	-	5	-	1	-	False	24	12	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio Padt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Son	0	2	-	2	6	3	1	-	False	79	17	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	60	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Stanislav Ivanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinicius Nogueira	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	27	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Zlatomir Stoimenov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	69	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Ferencvarosi TC and Ludogorets

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC	2-0	8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets	2-0	8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Ferencvarosi TC

100.0%

Ludogorets

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Ludogorets 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC

Current aggregate: 2-3

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.3%

Home Win

27.3%

Draw

24.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Ferencvarosi TC 1.60

Ludogorets 1.08

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Ferencvarosi TC

Ludogorets

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)