Genk vs SC Freiburg - Football Platform

Europa League

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

24' Z. El Ouahdi

12 Mar 2026

21:00

Cegeka Arena

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 2 - 5

Score Summary

Genk

1 0

FT HT 1–0

SC Freiburg

Z. El Ouahdi 24'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Genk 1531 1541 ▲ 10

51% Win

SC Freiburg 1536 1526 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

57% Win

Genk 0.14 0.14 ▲ 0.00

30% Win

SC Freiburg 0.16 0.12 ▼ -0.04

Top Performers

Top Rated

Zakaria El Ouahdi

Genk

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Zakaria El Ouahdi

Genk

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Noah Adedeji-Sternberg

Genk

6.7

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Igor Matanović

SC Freiburg

6.9

9 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Genk 60% SC Freiburg 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

17 Shots 5

3 On Target 2

Form Context

Genk

W W L W W

SC Freiburg

W D W W L

Smart Insight

Genk controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Genk generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Genk after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.2%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 21.9%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.00

Qualification %

Genk 0.0%

SC Freiburg 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Lyon	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga	17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

50 Possession 50

3 Shots 2

17 Shots 5

2 Offsides 2

8 Shots Off Goal 1

3 Shots On Goal 2

17 Total Shots 5

50 Ball Possession 50

326 Passes Accurate 323

396 Total Passes 398

82% Passes % 81%

6 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

16 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 7

8 Shots Insidebox 4

9 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.00 expected_goals 0.30

0 goals_prevented 0

Genk — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Bibout	0	1	-	1	21	6	2	-	False	83	23	F	5.9	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Adrian Palacios	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayumu Yokoyama	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Heynen	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	2	True	90	8	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	1	26	2	36	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	-
👤 Daan Heymans	0	1	2	1	11	7	1	-	False	90	38	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	32	2	36	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Hendrik Van Crombrugge	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura	0	2	3	1	14	6	2	1	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	36	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Jarne Steuckers	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joris Kayembe	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	1	False	77	18	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Josue Ndenge Kongolo	0	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	77	44	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	32	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Junya Ito	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jusef Erabi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	99	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ken Nkuba	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Konstantinos Karetsas	0	8	4	2	20	7	1	3	False	90	20	M	7	False	0	-	-	1	23	2	33	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Matte Smets	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	90	6	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Mujaid Sadick	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	3	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Sattlberger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg	0	5	1	2	13	3	3	-	False	77	32	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	28	5	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Robin Mirisola	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	29	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Okiki Lawal	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	26	G	7.7	False	0	2	-	-	17	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yaimar Medina	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	19	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Yira Collins Sor	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	14	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zakaria El Ouahdi	1	4	1	3	11	6	1	1	False	90	77	D	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	29	2	37	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Ogbus	1	-	2	-	10	6	1	1	False	90	43	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Christian Günter	0	1	1	-	4	2	1	-	True	90	30	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	2
👤 Cyriaque Irié	0	1	-	1	6	2	2	1	False	27	22	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derry Scherhant	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	27	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	0	2	-	-	21	12	2	2	False	90	31	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	9
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	0	-	2	-	7	5	-	2	False	63	19	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Jannik Huth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Johan Manzambi	0	6	2	5	18	14	-	5	False	90	44	M	8	False	0	0	-	-	1	43	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	3
👤 Jordy Makengo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karl Steinmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	65	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Höler	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	19	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lukas Kübler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Ginter	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	90	28	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	51	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Nicolas Höfler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	37	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	0	2	1	2	9	5	1	-	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Philipp Lienhart	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Treu	0	2	1	-	9	5	-	2	False	90	29	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Rouven Tarnutzer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	69	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	0	1	1	1	4	3	-	-	False	63	32	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Yuito Suzuki	0	3	-	2	11	3	1	-	False	71	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: Genk and SC Freiburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg	1-0	8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk	1-0	8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart		8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

Genk

0.0%

SC Freiburg

100.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: Genk 1-0 SC Freiburg

Current aggregate: 5-2

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.2%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

21.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Genk 1.65

SC Freiburg 1.00

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Genk

SC Freiburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)