FC Porto vs VfB Stuttgart - Football Platform

Europa League

VfB Stuttgart

21' William Gomes
72' V. Froholdt

19 Mar 2026

21:00

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 1

Score Summary

FC Porto

2 0

FT HT 1–0

VfB Stuttgart

William Gomes 21'
V. Froholdt 72'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

44% Win

FC Porto 1531 1539 ▲ 9

56% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1576 1565 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

FC Porto 0.33 0.35 ▲ 0.02

33% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.34 0.48 ▲ 0.15

Top Performers

Top Rated

Diogo Costa

FC Porto

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

William Gomes

FC Porto

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Borja Sainz

FC Porto

7.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Alberto Costa

FC Porto

7.7

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC Porto 40% VfB Stuttgart 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

36 Possession 64

10 Shots 20

4 On Target 6

Form Context

FC Porto

D W W D W

VfB Stuttgart

W W W L W

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
VfB Stuttgart produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors FC Porto after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.4%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 26.9%

Expected Goals 1.54 - 1.14

Qualification %

FC Porto 100.0%

VfB Stuttgart 0.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

View full standings

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	2-0	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		17	L D W W D

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

36 Possession 64

4 Shots 6

10 Shots 20

1 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 8

4 Shots On Goal 6

10 Total Shots 20

36 Ball Possession 64

206 Passes Accurate 394

282 Total Passes 486

73% Passes % 81%

1 Blocked Shots 6

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

6 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 1

3 Yellow Cards 5

4 Corner Kicks 11

7 Shots Insidebox 13

3 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.50 expected_goals 1.71

0 goals_prevented 0

FC Porto — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alan Varela	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	17	22	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Alberto Costa	0	1	-	-	10	7	-	3	False	90	20	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	19	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Borja Sainz	0	4	1	1	12	6	1	4	False	66	17	F	7.2	False	1	-	-	1	9	3	12	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Cláudio Ramos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Deniz Gül	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diogo Costa	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	True	90	99	G	8.5	False	0	6	-	-	15	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Prpić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Francisco Moura	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	74	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabri Veiga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gonçalo Sousa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakub Kiwior	0	-	3	-	7	1	-	-	False	32	4	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	13	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jan Bednarek	0	-	-	-	10	8	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 João Costa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martim Fernandes	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	24	52	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Pablo Rosario	1	2	1	-	9	4	1	3	False	90	13	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	23	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Pepê	0	2	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	32	11	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodrigo Mora	1	1	-	1	5	2	1	1	False	45	86	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Seko Fofana	0	4	1	3	10	4	-	1	False	73	42	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	15	2	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Terem Moffi	0	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	90	29	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Thiago Silva	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	3	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Victor Froholdt	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	45	8	M	7.7	True	0	-	1	-	7	1	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 William Gomes	0	1	4	1	6	2	-	1	False	58	7	F	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Zaidu Sanusi	1	1	-	-	5	1	1	1	False	58	12	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	33	G	5.6	False	0	2	2	-	-	13	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	0	1	-	1	8	4	2	-	False	79	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	2	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	0	1	3	-	6	1	1	-	True	62	16	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	0	2	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	12	27	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	0	0	1	-	1	7	7	-	3	False	90	11	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	3	53	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Chema Andrés	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	30	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Chris Führich	0	0	3	1	2	8	3	1	-	False	78	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	2	49	-	-	-	2	3	-	2	1
👤 Deniz Undav	0	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	78	26	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	3	22	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	1	-	1	-	11	1	2	1	False	90	9	F	5.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Hellstern	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeff Chabot	0	0	-	1	-	12	9	-	-	False	90	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	47	-	-	-	2	4	1	2	1
👤 Josha Vagnoman	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	1	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	12	22	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	1	-	-	-	5	2	3	-	False	90	14	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	0	1	-	1	7	5	2	1	False	61	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	3	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Mirza Ćatović	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Nartey	1	2	1	-	1	5	3	2	-	False	15	28	M	5.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	0	3	-	3	5	3	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Tiago Tomás	0	0	2	-	2	6	5	-	-	False	29	8	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3

League standings

View standings

Teams in this match: FC Porto and VfB Stuttgart

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lyon		8	7	0	1	18	5	13	21	L W W W W
2	Aston Villa		8	7	0	1	14	6	8	21	W W W W W
3	FC Midtjylland		8	6	1	1	18	8	10	19	W L W D W
4	Real Betis		8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	W W W L W
5	FC Porto	2-0	8	5	2	1	13	7	6	17	D W W D W
6	SC Braga		8	5	2	1	11	5	6	17	L D W W D
7	SC Freiburg		8	5	2	1	10	4	6	17	W D W W L
8	AS Roma		8	5	1	2	13	6	7	16	W W W W D
9	Genk		8	5	1	2	11	7	4	16	W W L W W
10	Bologna		8	4	3	1	14	7	7	15	D W W D W
11	VfB Stuttgart	2-0	8	5	0	3	15	9	6	15	W W W L W
12	Ferencvarosi TC		8	4	3	1	12	11	1	15	W D W D L
13	Nottingham Forest		8	4	2	2	15	7	8	14	D W W L W
14	Plzen		8	3	5	0	8	3	5	14	D D D D W
15	FK Crvena Zvezda		8	4	2	2	7	6	1	14	W W W W D
16	Celta Vigo		8	4	1	3	15	11	4	13	W L L W D
17	PAOK		8	3	3	2	17	14	3	12	W D D W L
18	Lille		8	4	0	4	12	9	3	12	L W L L W
19	Fenerbahce		8	3	3	2	10	7	3	12	D D W L D
20	Panathinaikos		8	3	3	2	11	9	2	12	W W D D D
21	Celtic		8	3	2	3	13	15	-2	11	L W L D W
22	Ludogorets		8	3	1	4	12	15	-3	10	L W D L W
23	Dinamo Zagreb		8	3	1	4	12	16	-4	10	L L L W L
24	Brann		8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9	D D L D L
25	BSC Young Boys		8	3	0	5	10	16	-6	9	L L W L L
26	Sturm Graz		8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7	D L L L W
27	FCSB		8	2	1	5	9	16	-7	7	L L W L D
28	GO Ahead Eagles		8	2	1	5	6	14	-8	7	L L L L D
29	Feyenoord		8	2	0	6	11	15	-4	6	L L L W L
30	FC Basel 1893		8	2	0	6	9	13	-4	6	W L L L L
31	Red Bull Salzburg		8	2	0	6	10	15	-5	6	W L L W L
32	Rangers		8	1	1	6	5	14	-9	4	L D L W L
33	Nice		8	1	0	7	7	15	-8	3	L L L W L
34	Utrecht		8	0	1	7	5	15	-10	1	D L L L L
35	Malmo FF		8	0	1	7	4	15	-11	1	L L L L L
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv		8	0	1	7	2	22	-20	1	L L L L L

Qualified — Round of 16

Knockout play-offs

Eliminated

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Qualification Prediction Based on 5000 simulations

FC Porto

100.0%

VfB Stuttgart

0.0%

Match Type: Two-leg tie

First leg: VfB Stuttgart 1-2 FC Porto

Current aggregate: 1-4

Method: Monte Carlo (Dixon-Coles + Elo fallback, elo-weighted ET/PEN)

How was this calculated?

We simulate this knockout matchup using scoreline probabilities from Dixon-Coles where available, with an Elo fallback when needed. For two-leg ties we aggregate both legs and count who advances; for single-match knockouts and aggregate-level ties we resolve the shootout step with an elo-weighted draw rather than a 50/50 flip.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.4%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

26.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC Porto 1.54

VfB Stuttgart 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC Porto

VfB Stuttgart

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Qualification %

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)