FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

HT: 0–1

Borussia Dortmund

23 Aug 2025

18:30

Millerntor-Stadion

Stadium

Millerntor-Stadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 29564 Surface: grass Address: Harald-Stender-Platz 1

Score Summary

FC St. Pauli

3 3

FT HT 0–1

Borussia Dortmund

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

FC St. Pauli 1500 1500 ▲ 0

51% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1505 1505 ▼ 0

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

FC St. Pauli 0.03 -0.58 ▼ -0.61

36% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.00 0.66 ▲ 0.66

Top Performers

Top Rated

Danel Sinani

FC St. Pauli

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Eric Smith

FC St. Pauli

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Danel Sinani

FC St. Pauli

8.3

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Mathias Pereira Lage

FC St. Pauli

6.7

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC St. Pauli 50% Borussia Dortmund 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

11 Shots 8

7 On Target 7

Form Context

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
FC St. Pauli generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.2%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 36.5%

Expected Goals 1.64 - 1.60

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	3-3	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

51 Possession 49

7 Shots 7

11 Shots 8

4 Offsides 3

3 Shots Off Goal 1

7 Shots On Goal 7

11 Total Shots 8

51 Ball Possession 49

397 Passes Accurate 413

484 Total Passes 481

82% Passes % 86%

1 Blocked Shots 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

13 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 2

8 Shots Insidebox 7

3 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.29 expected_goals 1.56

0 goals_prevented 0

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	0	-	-	-	6	3	2	1	False	22	9	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	1	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	77	25	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	46	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Andreas Hountondji	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	68	27	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	2	8	1	10	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	2	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	77	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	13	24	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Danel Sinani	0	1	-	1	13	6	3	3	False	90	10	F	8.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	30	3	40	-	-	1	-	2	2	-	2	2
👤 Eric Smith	1	2	1	2	9	6	1	1	True	90	8	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	61	-	68	1	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Erik Ahlstrand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	5	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	72	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 James Sands	0	2	1	1	9	6	-	2	False	87	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jannik Thomas Robatsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	0	1	-	-	10	2	4	-	False	90	16	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	1	47	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Oppie	0	2	-	1	6	5	-	2	False	90	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	1	41	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Manolis Saliakas	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	13	2	D	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	22	1	25	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	-	-	-	10	5	-	1	False	90	28	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	20	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	7.3	False	0	3	4	-	-	24	-	31	-	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oladapo Afolayan	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	14	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Scott Banks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Almugera Kabar	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cole Campbell	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	90	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	2	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	0	2	1	-	5	1	1	1	False	45	8	M	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	8	1	11	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Filippo Mané	1	0	1	-	-	6	-	1	-	False	85	39	D	5.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	66	1	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	True	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	26	-	34	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	0	1	-	-	8	3	-	1	False	45	7	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Brandt	0	0	1	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	45	10	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	1	9	-	12	-	0	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	0	-	2	-	6	3	-	2	False	45	27	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	1	11	-	0	-	1	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	1	-	1	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	20	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	1	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	0	1	1	-	9	3	3	1	False	87	13	M	6	False	1	0	-	-	-	34	2	44	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	1	-	1	-	10	6	2	1	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	84	-	90	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Salih Özcan	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	6	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	0	4	1	2	13	8	2	2	False	90	9	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	9	-	18	-	1	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	0	1	-	-	11	7	1	2	False	90	3	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	86	-	93	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Yan Couto	0	1	2	-	-	6	3	1	2	False	90	2	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Yannik Lührs	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	3-3	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	3-3	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.2%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

36.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.64

Borussia Dortmund 1.60

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC St. Pauli

Borussia Dortmund

Millerntor-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)