RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 0–0

1. FC Heidenheim

Coach : F. Schmidt

48' C. Baumgartner
78' Romulo Cardoso

30 Aug 2025

15:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

2 0

FT HT 0–0

1. FC Heidenheim

C. Baumgartner 48'
Romulo Cardoso 78'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

RB Leipzig 1500 1505 ▲ 5

50% Win

1. FC Heidenheim 1500 1495 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

RB Leipzig -0.04 0.47 ▲ 0.51

36% Win

1. FC Heidenheim -0.10 -0.34 ▼ -0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ridle Baku

RB Leipzig

8.9

8.9 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

David Raum

RB Leipzig

8.3

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Marnon Busch

1. FC Heidenheim

6.2

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 62% 1. FC Heidenheim 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

66 Possession 34

19 Shots 5

5 On Target 3

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

1. FC Heidenheim

D D W L W

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig controlled momentum for most phases of play.
RB Leipzig generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors RB Leipzig after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.0%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 35.7%

Expected Goals 1.66 - 1.58

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-0	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

66 Possession 34

5 Shots 3

19 Shots 5

1 Offsides 2

10 Shots Off Goal 1

5 Shots On Goal 3

19 Total Shots 5

66 Ball Possession 34

470 Passes Accurate 194

539 Total Passes 271

87% Passes % 72%

4 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

7 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 5

4 Corner Kicks 3

16 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 0

2.23 expected_goals 1.02

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	5	-	2	12	7	1	2	False	90	7	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Assan Ouédraogo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	20	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	2	-	2	10	8	-	1	False	90	23	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	79	-	87	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	0	1	3	1	15	7	2	1	False	85	14	M	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	16	2	27	-	-	-	1	5	-	-	2
👤 David Raum	1	1	-	1	3	2	1	1	True	90	22	D	8.3	False	1	-	-	-	45	5	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	1	1	-	1	5	3	1	1	False	67	6	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	27	-	34	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	5	-	2	8	4	1	1	False	67	9	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	1	21	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kosta Nedeljković	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	19	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïs Openda	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	10	11	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Finkgräfe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	23	13	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	4	-	-	21	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	4	-	3	6	5	-	2	False	89	17	D	8.9	False	1	-	-	-	55	3	60	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Rômulo	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	1	False	85	40	F	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	11	8	-	2	False	90	4	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	60	1	63	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	2	-	2	7	5	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	61	2	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Yan Diomande	0	6	-	4	7	5	-	-	False	23	49	F	7	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1

1. FC Heidenheim — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrian Beck	0	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	False	22	21	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arijon Ibrahimović	0	1	3	-	9	4	1	-	False	58	22	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Benedikt Gimber	0	-	1	-	8	5	-	2	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Budu Zivzivadze	0	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	False	33	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diant Ramaj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.9	False	0	2	4	-	-	37	-	52	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Haktab Omar Traore	0	-	1	-	4	-	1	-	False	13	23	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Schöppner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Fohrenbach	1	-	3	-	7	2	1	-	False	90	19	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Julian Niehues	0	1	2	1	5	2	-	-	False	32	16	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kevin Muller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leart Paqarada	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Scienza	0	7	1	2	13	5	-	2	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	2	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Luca Kerber	1	-	1	-	9	2	2	1	False	68	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marnon Busch	1	-	-	-	6	3	3	-	False	90	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Mathias Honsak	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	77	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	9	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	2
👤 Mikkel Kaufmann	1	-	1	-	14	3	3	-	False	57	29	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Niklas Dorsch	0	1	1	1	4	2	1	-	False	58	30	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Patrick Mainka	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	True	90	6	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Sirlord Conteh	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	32	31	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Tim Siersleben	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-0	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim	2-0	31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.0%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

35.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.66

1. FC Heidenheim 1.58

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

1. FC Heidenheim

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)