Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 1–0

Union Berlin

31 Aug 2025

17:30

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

3 0

FT HT 1–0

Union Berlin

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1505 1510 ▲ 5

51% Win

Union Berlin 1510 1505 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

43% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.02 0.66 ▲ 0.63

36% Win

Union Berlin -0.07 -0.29 ▼ -0.22

Top Performers

Top Rated

Serhou Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund

8.2

8.2 rating · 87 min

Most Clinical

Serhou Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund

8.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Christopher Trimmel

Union Berlin

6.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Leopold Querfeld

Union Berlin

7.7

1 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 67% Union Berlin 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

65 Possession 35

11 Shots 12

6 On Target 3

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Union Berlin

L D L L L

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.9%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 35.8%

Expected Goals 1.66 - 1.58

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	3-0	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

65 Possession 35

6 Shots 3

11 Shots 12

1 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 6

6 Shots On Goal 3

11 Total Shots 12

65 Ball Possession 35

642 Passes Accurate 291

711 Total Passes 363

90% Passes % 80%

3 Blocked Shots 3

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

14 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

4 Corner Kicks 6

9 Shots Insidebox 8

2 Shots Outsidebox 4

2.51 expected_goals 1.14

0 goals_prevented 0

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aarón Anselmino	-	-	-	7	4	2	1	False	76	28	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	73	-	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Alexander Meyer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	3	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	13	17	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cole Campbell	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	-	-	-	5	2	2	-	False	90	24	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	50	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Nmecha	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	19	8	M	8	True	0	-	1	-	19	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	3	-	-	22	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	1	-	1	10	7	1	2	False	71	7	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	51	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Julian Brandt	2	-	2	3	2	-	-	True	90	10	F	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	56	2	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	14	26	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	20	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Karim Adeyemi	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	3	27	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	86	20	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	44	-	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Beier	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	77	14	F	6.7	False	1	-	-	-	17	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	13	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	1	-	-	7	3	2	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	99	1	110	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Salih Özcan	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	1	1	-	9	3	1	-	False	87	9	F	8.2	False	0	-	2	1	18	-	23	-	-	-	5	6	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	-	1	-	8	3	-	1	False	90	3	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	97	-	100	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Yan Couto	5	-	2	12	6	3	2	False	90	2	M	7.5	False	1	-	-	-	53	2	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2

Union Berlin — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Král	-	-	-	6	4	2	3	False	64	33	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Aljoscha Kemlein	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrej Ilić	1	1	1	14	7	-	-	False	90	23	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	1	14	-	-	-	1	5	-	-	-
👤 András Schäfer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Trimmel	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	True	64	28	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	4	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Danilho Doekhi	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	5	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 David Preu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derrick Köhn	1	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	20	39	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frederik Ronnow	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	3	3	-	-	24	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilyas Ansah	1	-	-	8	1	2	1	False	70	10	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	2	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janik Haberer	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	82	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Leopold Querfeld	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	90	14	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	49	-	-	-	1	2	3	3	1
👤 Matheo Raab	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Burke	1	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	20	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Oluwaseun Ogbemudia	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rani Khedira	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Robert Skov	1	1	1	8	5	2	2	False	70	24	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Tim Skarke	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	26	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tom Rothe	1	2	-	6	3	-	1	False	90	15	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Woo-Yeong Jeong	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	26	11	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	3-0	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin	3-0	31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.9%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

35.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.66

Union Berlin 1.58

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

Union Berlin

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)