VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli - Football Platform

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

HT: 1–0

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

43' E. Demirovic
50' B. El Khannouss

19 Sep 2025

20:30

MHP Arena

Score Summary

VfB Stuttgart

2 0

FT HT 1–0

FC St. Pauli

E. Demirovic 43'
B. El Khannouss 50'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1495 1500 ▲ 5

52% Win

FC St. Pauli 1510 1505 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

VfB Stuttgart -0.02 0.48 ▲ 0.51

40% Win

FC St. Pauli 0.11 -0.58 ▼ -0.69

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jeff Chabot

VfB Stuttgart

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Bilal El Khannouss

VfB Stuttgart

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Jamie Leweling

VfB Stuttgart

7.5

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jeff Chabot

VfB Stuttgart

8.3

4 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfB Stuttgart 80% FC St. Pauli 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

17 Shots 9

8 On Target 2

Form Context

VfB Stuttgart

W L W L D

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart controlled momentum for most phases of play.
VfB Stuttgart generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.8%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 38.9%

Expected Goals 1.58 - 1.66

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	2-0	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

54 Possession 46

8 Shots 2

17 Shots 9

2 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 2

8 Shots On Goal 2

17 Total Shots 9

54 Ball Possession 46

462 Passes Accurate 338

528 Total Passes 439

88% Passes % 77%

6 Blocked Shots 5

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

13 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 2

8 Corner Kicks 4

11 Shots Insidebox 7

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.11 expected_goals 0.95

1 goals_prevented 1

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.5	False	0	3	-	-	18	-	24	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	2	-	2	15	8	3	2	False	90	6	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	69	1	76	-	1	-	-	2	2	-	2	1
👤 Atakan Karazor	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	16	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Badredine Bouanani	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	27	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	2	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	90	11	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	42	3	52	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Chema Andrés	-	1	-	12	9	2	-	False	89	30	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	47	2	54	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	5	4
👤 Chris Führich	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	17	10	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	12	1	13	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ermedin Demirović	1	-	1	8	2	4	-	True	84	9	F	7.6	False	1	-	1	2	7	1	11	-	0	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	-	1	-	7	4	-	1	False	90	29	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	68	-	75	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Jamie Leweling	2	-	1	7	2	-	1	False	89	18	M	7.5	False	1	-	-	-	17	4	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Jeff Chabot	1	1	1	13	11	-	4	False	90	24	D	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	67	-	76	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	5	4
👤 Josha Vagnoman	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	2	-	1	10	5	4	1	False	90	22	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	0	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	84	7	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	52	2	57	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-
👤 Nikolas Nartey	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	28	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Stenzel	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	3	D	7	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Stefan Drljača	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Tomás	6	-	3	15	10	-	4	False	73	8	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	-

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	-	1	-	10	5	2	-	False	82	25	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	4
👤 Andreas Hountondji	0	1	-	-	6	-	1	-	False	62	27	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	11	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	16	24	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Danel Sinani	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	3	False	74	10	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Smith	0	-	2	-	6	3	1	2	True	90	8	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	-	60	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Erik Ahlstrand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 James Sands	1	-	-	-	20	7	5	2	False	90	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Jannik Thomas Robatsch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	0	1	1	1	5	1	1	-	False	90	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	3	55	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	8	21	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Louis Oppie	0	1	1	-	9	2	2	2	False	90	23	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Manolis Saliakas	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	82	2	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	28	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	2	3	1	12	6	-	2	False	62	28	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Nick Schmidt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	22	G	8	False	0	2	6	-	-	27	-	36	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oladapo Afolayan	1	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	28	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and FC St. Pauli

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	2-0	31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	2-0	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and FC St. Pauli

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.8%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

38.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 1.58

FC St. Pauli 1.66

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfB Stuttgart

FC St. Pauli

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)