Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 1–0

VfL Wolfsburg

20' K. Adeyemi

21 Sep 2025

19:30

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

1 0

FT HT 1–0

VfL Wolfsburg

K. Adeyemi 20'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1515 1522 ▲ 7

49% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 1510 1505 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.19 0.66 ▲ 0.47

37% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 0.01 -0.50 ▼ -0.51

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ramy Bensebaini

Borussia Dortmund

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Karim Adeyemi

Borussia Dortmund

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Julian Ryerson

Borussia Dortmund

7.9

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Marcel Sabitzer

Borussia Dortmund

7.3

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 100% VfL Wolfsburg 0%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

12 Shots 9

4 On Target 0

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L W D

Smart Insight

Borussia Dortmund controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Borussia Dortmund generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Borussia Dortmund after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.5%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 35.2%

Expected Goals 1.67 - 1.57

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	1-0	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

56 Possession 44

4 Shots 0

12 Shots 9

2 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 0

12 Total Shots 9

56 Ball Possession 44

464 Passes Accurate 360

528 Total Passes 429

88% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 0

9 Corner Kicks 3

7 Shots Insidebox 4

5 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.10 expected_goals 0.80

0 goals_prevented 0

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	4	-	2	6	3	-	1	False	25	17	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Cole Campbell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	90	24	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	77	8	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	34	-	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Filippo Mané	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	7	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Brandt	0	-	-	-	7	1	-	-	False	13	10	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	10	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	4	-	-	10	4	1	1	False	90	26	M	7.9	False	1	-	-	-	44	4	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	4	-	2	11	8	1	4	False	77	27	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	16	-	22	-	-	-	1	5	-	1	1
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	-	-	6	3	3	-	False	89	20	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	48	3	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	2	-	2	5	4	-	2	False	65	14	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	6	-	12	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	3	1	1	5	1	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	72	-	79	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	1	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	1	69	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	6	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	1	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	90	9	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	-	1	-	7	2	2	-	False	90	3	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	82	-	86	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Yan Couto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

VfL Wolfsburg — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Zehnter	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Daghim	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Andreas Skov Olsen	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	45	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bence Dárdai	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Eriksen	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	30	24	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Dženan Pejčinović	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joakim Mæhle	3	1	-	8	4	-	-	False	81	21	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Jonas Wind	-	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	17	23	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kamil Grabara	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.6	False	0	1	3	-	-	24	-	30	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kilian Fischer	-	1	-	5	1	3	-	False	90	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Konstantinos Koulierakis	-	-	-	7	4	2	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	63	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	2
👤 Lovro Majer	1	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	60	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marius Müller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattias Svanberg	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	30	32	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Arnold	-	2	-	6	3	-	-	True	90	27	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	2	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Mohamed Amoura	2	-	2	9	7	-	1	False	90	9	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	2	15	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	3
👤 Moritz Jenz	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	47	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Patrick Wimmer	1	1	-	8	4	1	2	False	73	39	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Saël Kumbedi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Souza	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	60	5	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	1-0	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg	1-0	31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.5%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

35.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.67

VfL Wolfsburg 1.57

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

VfL Wolfsburg

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)