VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig - Football Platform

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

HT: 0–1

RB Leipzig

8' J. Bakayoko

27 Sep 2025

15:30

Volkswagen Arena

Stadium

Volkswagen Arena

Wolfsburg, Germany

Capacity: 30000 Surface: grass Address: In den Allerwiesen 1

Score Summary

VfL Wolfsburg

0 1

FT HT 0–1

RB Leipzig

8' J. Bakayoko

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 1505 1498 ▼ -7

51% Win

RB Leipzig 1515 1522 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

VfL Wolfsburg 0.00 -0.50 ▼ -0.50

38% Win

RB Leipzig 0.13 0.47 ▲ 0.34

Top Performers

Top Rated

Johan Bakayoko

RB Leipzig

8.7

8.7 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Johan Bakayoko

RB Leipzig

8.7

1 goals

Best Creator

David Raum

RB Leipzig

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Castello Lukeba

RB Leipzig

7.0

1 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfL Wolfsburg 40% RB Leipzig 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

22 Shots 20

4 On Target 6

Form Context

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L W D

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors RB Leipzig after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.2%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 37.5%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.62

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	0-1	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

51 Possession 49

4 Shots 6

22 Shots 20

0 Offsides 5

9 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 6

22 Total Shots 20

51 Ball Possession 49

367 Passes Accurate 358

447 Total Passes 435

82% Passes % 82%

9 Blocked Shots 8

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

7 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 11

17 Shots Insidebox 10

5 Shots Outsidebox 10

3.05 expected_goals 2.41

0 goals_prevented 0

VfL Wolfsburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Zehnter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	25	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Daghim	0	2	3	1	13	7	-	2	False	45	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	3
👤 Bence Dárdai	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Eriksen	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	20	24	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dženan Pejčinović	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	20	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joakim Mæhle	0	2	1	1	6	3	1	-	False	90	21	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	2	50	1	-	-	-	-	-	4	-
👤 Jonas Wind	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	2	False	70	23	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Kamil Grabara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	1	5	-	-	28	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kilian Fischer	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	-	False	89	2	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	2	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Konstantinos Koulierakis	1	-	-	-	10	5	1	1	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	66	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	1
👤 Lovro Majer	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	10	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marius Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattias Svanberg	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	70	32	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	2	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Arnold	1	1	2	1	5	2	1	-	True	90	27	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	3	54	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Mohamed Amoura	0	3	1	1	12	6	1	1	False	90	9	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	27	-	-	-	1	3	1	1	3
👤 Moritz Jenz	0	-	2	-	9	7	-	-	False	90	15	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Patrick Wimmer	0	1	3	1	10	4	-	2	False	45	39	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Saël Kumbedi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vinícius Souza	0	1	-	-	11	6	2	-	False	89	5	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	4
👤 Yannick Gerhardt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	3	-	3	3	3	-	-	False	11	7	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Assan Ouédraogo	0	3	-	2	6	4	-	1	False	64	20	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	1	-	-	8	1	1	-	False	90	23	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	56	-	65	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	4	1
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	0	1	1	-	8	2	1	-	False	89	14	M	6	False	0	-	-	1	20	4	25	-	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Conrad Harder	0	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	11	11	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	1	4	1	6	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	0	4	-	2	9	5	1	-	True	90	22	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	50	4	62	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	-	False	26	6	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	3	1	1	7	4	-	2	False	89	9	F	8.7	False	0	-	1	-	25	1	29	-	0	-	1	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Kevin Kampl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	44	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	-	-	10	5	3	1	False	90	13	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	25	1	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	4	-	-	30	-	42	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	2	2	1	10	4	2	-	False	90	17	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	50	-	58	-	0	-	-	1	2	1	-	2
👤 Rômulo	0	-	-	-	9	2	-	-	False	79	40	F	6	False	1	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Timo Werner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	36	F	-	True	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	1	-	-	-	10	6	1	1	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	38	1	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Yan Diomande	1	5	-	3	9	3	-	-	False	79	49	F	7	False	0	-	-	-	25	2	33	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	0-1	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg	0-1	31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.2%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

37.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfL Wolfsburg 1.62

RB Leipzig 1.62

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig

Volkswagen Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)