FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

HT: 1–1

Bayer Leverkusen

25' E. Tapsoba
32' H. Wahl
58' E. Poku

27 Sep 2025

15:30

Millerntor-Stadion

Stadium

Millerntor-Stadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 29564 Surface: grass Address: Harald-Stender-Platz 1

Score Summary

FC St. Pauli

1 2

FT HT 1–1

Bayer Leverkusen

H. Wahl 32'

25' E. Tapsoba
58' E. Poku

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

FC St. Pauli 1505 1497 ▼ -8

50% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1505 1513 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

FC St. Pauli 0.05 -0.58 ▼ -0.63

35% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.06 0.54 ▲ 0.47

Top Performers

Top Rated

Edmond Tapsoba

Bayer Leverkusen

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Hauke Wahl

FC St. Pauli

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Mathias Pereira Lage

FC St. Pauli

6.7

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Malik Tillman

Bayer Leverkusen

6.7

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC St. Pauli 60% Bayer Leverkusen 40%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

13 Shots 5

6 On Target 4

Form Context

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

Bayer Leverkusen

D W W L W

Smart Insight

FC St. Pauli controlled momentum for most phases of play.
FC St. Pauli generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 31.4%

Expected Goals 1.76 - 1.47

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	1-2	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

49 Possession 51

6 Shots 4

13 Shots 5

2 Offsides 0

6 Shots Off Goal 0

6 Shots On Goal 4

13 Total Shots 5

49 Ball Possession 51

372 Passes Accurate 414

447 Total Passes 490

83% Passes % 84%

1 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

13 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 5

13 Corner Kicks 1

7 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.82 expected_goals 0.69

0 goals_prevented 0

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	1	-	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	13	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	22	25	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Andreas Hountondji	0	2	-	-	4	-	-	-	False	68	27	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	10	24	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danel Sinani	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	3	43	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Eric Smith	1	2	-	2	5	4	1	1	True	90	8	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	60	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Erik Ahlstrand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	53	-	60	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 James Sands	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	2	False	90	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	1	3	1	2	9	4	1	1	False	80	16	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Karol Mets	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	-	-	-	6	3	2	-	False	68	21	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Louis Oppie	0	1	-	-	8	3	3	-	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Manolis Saliakas	0	-	2	-	11	6	1	1	False	87	2	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	-	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	22	19	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	1	1	-	13	6	2	3	False	81	28	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	5	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	6.3	False	0	2	2	-	-	32	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oladapo Afolayan	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	9	17	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	-	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	2	1	2	8	6	-	1	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	37	1	42	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Axel Tape	0	-	1	-	9	5	-	5	False	56	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Kofane	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	11	35	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Claudio Echeverri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	1	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	12	D	9	False	0	0	-	1	-	66	-	72	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	3
👤 Eliesse Ben Seghir	0	3	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	56	17	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	-	2	-	5	-	2	-	False	34	19	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	1	1	1	-	9	6	-	2	False	45	6	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	1	2	-	-	7	2	2	2	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	53	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	15	7	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	1	-	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Lucas Vazquez	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	34	21	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malik Tillman	0	2	-	-	13	7	1	1	False	75	10	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Mark Flekken	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	90	1	G	6	False	0	1	4	-	-	25	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrik Schick	0	1	-	-	6	1	3	-	False	89	14	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	1	-	4	2	1	1	True	45	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	1-2	31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	1-2	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.6%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

31.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.76

Bayer Leverkusen 1.47

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen

Millerntor-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)