Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli - Football Platform

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

HT: 1–0

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

2' S. Mbangula

04 Oct 2025

15:30

Weserstadion

Score Summary

Werder Bremen

1 0

FT HT 1–0

FC St. Pauli

S. Mbangula 2'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Werder Bremen 1484 1492 ▲ 8

52% Win

FC St. Pauli 1497 1490 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

38% Win

Werder Bremen -0.22 -0.14 ▲ 0.08

37% Win

FC St. Pauli 0.04 -0.58 ▼ -0.62

Top Performers

Top Rated

Samuel Mbangula

Werder Bremen

7.9

7.9 rating · 81 min

Most Clinical

Samuel Mbangula

Werder Bremen

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Romano Schmid

Werder Bremen

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Isaac Schmidt

Werder Bremen

7.3

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Werder Bremen 62% FC St. Pauli 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

41 Possession 59

15 Shots 13

5 On Target 3

Form Context

Werder Bremen

W L L W D

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

Smart Insight

Werder Bremen controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Werder Bremen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 37.9%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 36.7%

Expected Goals 1.63 - 1.61

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

41 Possession 59

5 Shots 3

15 Shots 13

3 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 6

5 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 13

41 Ball Possession 59

359 Passes Accurate 539

463 Total Passes 652

78% Passes % 83%

7 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

8 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 0

8 Shots Insidebox 6

7 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.86 expected_goals 0.76

0 goals_prevented 0

Werder Bremen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amos Pieper	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cameron Puertas	1	3	3	-	18	6	1	2	False	81	18	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Felix Agu	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	44	27	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Isaac Schmidt	0	1	-	1	6	5	-	-	False	46	23	D	7.3	True	0	-	-	-	19	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Jens Stage	1	3	1	2	15	10	2	2	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	21	1	40	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Justin Njinmah	0	3	1	-	11	6	-	-	False	60	11	F	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	11	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Karim Coulibaly	0	1	-	1	12	7	1	-	False	90	31	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	52	-	60	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	3
👤 Karl Hein	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	13	G	7.5	False	0	3	-	-	45	-	57	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Keke Topp	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leonardo Bittencourt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Friedl	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	True	90	32	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	56	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Marco Grüll	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	30	17	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Markus Kolke	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrice Čović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	24	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Romano Schmid	0	3	-	1	8	2	1	-	False	90	20	F	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	23	4	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Samuel Mbangula	0	2	-	-	8	5	-	2	False	81	7	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	1	23	-	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Senne Lynen	0	-	2	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	14	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	34	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Skelly Alvero	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Okoh Boniface	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	-	False	9	44	F	7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Yukinari Sugawara	0	2	1	1	8	5	1	-	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	1	28	-	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	0	1	1	1	5	4	-	1	False	19	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	2	-	-	7	2	-	1	False	71	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	50	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	2	1	1	5	1	-	-	False	19	24	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Danel Sinani	0	2	1	1	11	5	1	3	False	90	10	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	62	3	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Eric Smith	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	True	90	8	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	86	-	93	-	-	-	-	-	4	1	-
👤 Erik Ahlstrand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fin Stevens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	1	1	-	11	8	-	1	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	94	1	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 James Sands	0	-	-	-	7	3	3	-	False	71	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	45	-	-	-	1	1	1	3	1
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	0	2	1	2	10	4	3	-	False	90	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	3	67	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Karol Mets	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	1	-	-	8	2	-	-	False	71	21	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Louis Oppie	0	1	-	1	10	4	1	-	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	39	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Manolis Saliakas	1	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	19	2	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	1	-	1	9	4	1	-	False	90	19	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	3	2	1	11	4	-	1	False	90	28	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	7.7	False	0	1	4	-	-	23	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oladapo Afolayan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Werder Bremen and FC St. Pauli

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen	1-0	31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	1-0	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Werder Bremen and FC St. Pauli

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

37.9%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

36.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Werder Bremen 1.63

FC St. Pauli 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Werder Bremen

FC St. Pauli

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)