Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

HT: 1–1

RB Leipzig

7' C. Baumgartner
23' Y. Couto

04 Oct 2025

15:30

Signal Iduna Park

Score Summary

Borussia Dortmund

1 1

FT HT 1–1

RB Leipzig

Y. Couto 23'

7' C. Baumgartner

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1536 1536 ▼ 0

48% Win

RB Leipzig 1522 1523 ▲ 0

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.23 0.66 ▲ 0.42

34% Win

RB Leipzig 0.10 0.47 ▲ 0.37

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nico Schlotterbeck

Borussia Dortmund

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Yan Couto

Borussia Dortmund

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Daniel Svensson

Borussia Dortmund

7.5

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

David Raum

RB Leipzig

7.9

9 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Borussia Dortmund 50% RB Leipzig 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

15 Shots 13

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.8%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 30.3%

Expected Goals 1.79 - 1.45

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	1-1	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-1	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

50 Possession 50

3 Shots 3

15 Shots 13

2 Offsides 3

6 Shots Off Goal 6

3 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 13

50 Ball Possession 50

417 Passes Accurate 422

492 Total Passes 497

85% Passes % 85%

6 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

13 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 7

7 Shots Insidebox 8

8 Shots Outsidebox 5

0.89 expected_goals 1.09

0 goals_prevented 0

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	-	-	-	13	8	3	4	False	90	24	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	3	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	4
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	3	-	2	9	4	1	-	False	70	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Fábio Silva	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	21	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	21	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	20	7	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Julian Brandt	0	2	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	20	10	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	0	3	1	-	8	3	-	2	False	30	26	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	8	-	2	12	2	-	-	False	70	27	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	1	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	4	-	8	2	1	1	False	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	45	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	1	3	-	10	2	1	1	False	81	14	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	1	1	2	-	8	3	1	1	True	90	4	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	79	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	1
👤 Niklas Süle	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	1	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	9	13	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	0	-	-	-	8	6	2	2	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	48	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	2
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	81	9	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	0	1	1	1	8	5	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	80	1	89	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Yan Couto	0	1	-	1	8	3	2	1	False	60	2	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	35	1	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Haidara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	33	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	3	-	-	8	3	-	2	False	67	7	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Assan Ouédraogo	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	67	20	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	2	18	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	1
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	-	-	-	9	7	-	1	False	90	23	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	1	1	3	1	12	6	2	1	False	90	14	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	27	1	30	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	3
👤 Conrad Harder	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	0	1	2	1	14	10	2	-	True	90	22	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	3	55	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	9
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	1	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	23	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	5	-	2	12	5	3	2	False	89	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	1	32	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	13	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	4
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	34	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	1	1	-	1	9	7	2	2	False	90	17	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	3	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Rômulo	0	2	1	1	14	6	1	3	False	89	40	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	59	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	2
👤 Yan Diomande	0	5	-	5	10	6	-	-	False	23	49	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	1-1	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	1-1	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.8%

Home Win

25.0%

Draw

30.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.79

RB Leipzig 1.45

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)