Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

HT: 1–0

Union Berlin

33' E. Poku
49' C. M. Kofane

04 Oct 2025

15:30

BayArena

Stadium

BayArena

Leverkusen, Germany

Capacity: 30210 Surface: grass Address: Bismarckstr. 122-124

Score Summary

Bayer Leverkusen

2 0

FT HT 1–0

Union Berlin

E. Poku 33'
C. M. Kofane 49'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1512 1520 ▲ 7

49% Win

Union Berlin 1505 1498 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.12 0.54 ▲ 0.42

32% Win

Union Berlin -0.13 -0.29 ▼ -0.16

Top Performers

Top Rated

Aleix García

Bayer Leverkusen

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Ernest Poku

Bayer Leverkusen

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Lucas Vazquez

Bayer Leverkusen

7.3

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Leopold Querfeld

Union Berlin

7.0

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayer Leverkusen 50% Union Berlin 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

74 Possession 26

20 Shots 10

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Bayer Leverkusen

D W W L W

Union Berlin

L D L L L

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Bayer Leverkusen generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.3%

Draw 24.5%

Away Win 27.2%

Expected Goals 1.87 - 1.37

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	2-0	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

74 Possession 26

3 Shots 3

20 Shots 10

1 Offsides 0

12 Shots Off Goal 5

3 Shots On Goal 3

20 Total Shots 10

74 Ball Possession 26

755 Passes Accurate 201

823 Total Passes 279

92% Passes % 72%

5 Blocked Shots 2

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

4 Corner Kicks 4

8 Shots Insidebox 7

12 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.87 expected_goals 0.74

0 goals_prevented 0

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	90	24	M	8.2	False	0	-	-	1	147	1	152	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	True	45	20	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	40	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Arthur	0	4	1	4	10	8	-	2	False	45	13	D	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	27	1	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christian Kofane	1	1	-	1	9	3	2	-	False	81	35	F	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	8	2	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Claudio Echeverri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	12	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	89	-	92	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Eliesse Ben Seghir	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ernest Poku	0	1	1	1	5	2	-	1	False	89	19	F	7.6	False	0	-	1	-	31	1	36	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	1	1	-	8	1	3	1	False	69	6	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	94	-	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	3	-	2	9	6	1	1	False	45	30	F	7	True	0	-	-	-	21	1	25	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jarell Quansah	0	1	-	1	9	6	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	91	1	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	44	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	7	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	11	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ken Izekor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loïc Badé	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	95	1	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Vazquez	0	-	-	-	8	6	1	2	False	45	21	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	24	2	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Malik Tillman	0	1	-	1	14	11	1	4	False	90	10	F	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	40	3	48	-	-	-	1	3	2	-	2
👤 Mark Flekken	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	3	-	-	21	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	21	8	M	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	18	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3

Union Berlin — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alex Král	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aljoscha Kemlein	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	26	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Andrej Ilić	0	-	1	-	23	9	2	1	False	90	23	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	3	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 András Schäfer	0	-	-	-	8	5	-	2	False	64	13	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Christopher Trimmel	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	True	71	28	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danilho Doekhi	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	2	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	34	-	-	-	-	1	2	2	1
👤 Derrick Köhn	1	3	-	1	11	2	3	-	False	90	39	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	1	2	1	2	1
👤 Diogo Leite	1	1	-	1	8	2	2	-	False	71	4	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Dmytro Bogdanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frederik Ronnow	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.7	False	0	2	1	-	-	20	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ilyas Ansah	0	2	1	1	4	1	-	-	False	26	10	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Janik Haberer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	19	19	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Leopold Querfeld	0	-	2	-	12	7	1	1	False	90	14	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	3	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	5
👤 Matheo Raab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Burke	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	64	7	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Rani Khedira	0	-	2	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	2
👤 Stanley N'Soki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Skarke	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	21	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Rothe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	19	15	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Woo-Yeong Jeong	0	1	1	-	8	3	2	2	False	64	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	2-0	31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin	2-0	31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.3%

Home Win

24.5%

Draw

27.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayer Leverkusen 1.87

Union Berlin 1.37

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin

BayArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)