VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

HT: 0–0

1. FC Heidenheim

Coach : F. Schmidt

65' B. El Khannouss

05 Oct 2025

15:30

MHP Arena

Score Summary

VfB Stuttgart

1 0

FT HT 0–0

1. FC Heidenheim

B. El Khannouss 65'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1507 1515 ▲ 7

48% Win

1. FC Heidenheim 1493 1486 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.19 0.48 ▲ 0.30

35% Win

1. FC Heidenheim -0.20 -0.34 ▼ -0.14

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jeff Chabot

VfB Stuttgart

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Bilal El Khannouss

VfB Stuttgart

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Bilal El Khannouss

VfB Stuttgart

7.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Maximilian Mittelstädt

VfB Stuttgart

7.7

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfB Stuttgart 86% 1. FC Heidenheim 14%

Key Stats Snapshot

64 Possession 36

18 Shots 5

6 On Target 1

Form Context

VfB Stuttgart

W L W L D

1. FC Heidenheim

D D W L W

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart controlled momentum for most phases of play.
VfB Stuttgart generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.8%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 31.1%

Expected Goals 1.77 - 1.47

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	1-0	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

64 Possession 36

6 Shots 1

18 Shots 5

2 Offsides 3

7 Shots Off Goal 3

6 Shots On Goal 1

18 Total Shots 5

64 Ball Possession 36

534 Passes Accurate 248

620 Total Passes 351

86% Passes % 71%

5 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

11 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

1 Corner Kicks 1

7 Shots Insidebox 4

11 Shots Outsidebox 1

0.99 expected_goals 0.38

0 goals_prevented 0

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	7	False	0	1	-	-	30	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	34	2	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	24	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	2	False	33	6	M	7.2	True	0	-	-	-	31	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	True	57	16	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	34	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	57	27	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	23	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	1	2	1	2	8	4	1	1	False	89	11	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	45	4	58	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Chema Andrés	0	-	-	-	10	6	1	-	False	90	30	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	55	1	59	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 Chris Führich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ermedin Demirović	0	1	-	-	7	1	4	-	False	90	9	F	6	False	0	-	-	-	8	2	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Leweling	0	1	-	1	6	6	-	2	False	89	18	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	34	1	42	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	1
👤 Jeff Chabot	0	1	-	1	16	9	1	4	False	90	24	D	8.3	False	0	-	-	-	97	1	106	-	-	-	2	2	-	3	1
👤 Josha Vagnoman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lorenz Assignon	0	1	1	1	12	4	2	-	False	90	22	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	1	28	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Luca Jaquez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	56	14	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	63	2	70	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Maximilian Mittelstädt	0	-	-	-	13	8	-	2	False	90	7	D	7.7	False	1	-	-	-	52	1	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Nikolas Nartey	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	1	28	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Stenzel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	3	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Tomás	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	33	8	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	1	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

1. FC Heidenheim — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Kölle	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	1	28	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arijon Ibrahimović	0	1	-	-	9	3	-	-	False	89	22	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Benedikt Gimber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diant Ramaj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.9	False	0	1	5	-	-	47	-	68	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Haktab Omar Traore	0	1	1	-	8	2	1	1	False	90	23	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jan Schöppner	0	2	2	1	13	6	1	-	False	90	3	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Jonas Fohrenbach	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	1	False	90	19	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Julian Niehues	0	-	1	-	4	1	2	-	False	80	16	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Kevin Muller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Kerber	1	1	-	-	12	3	5	1	False	80	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Marnon Busch	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	10	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikkel Kaufmann	0	-	-	-	16	8	1	1	False	89	29	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Nick Rothweiler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Dorsch	0	3	-	1	9	6	-	3	False	74	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Patrick Mainka	0	-	1	-	9	6	-	1	True	90	6	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	32	-	-	-	-	2	3	-	-
👤 Stefan Schimmer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thomas Keller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Siersleben	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Weigel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	37	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yannik Wagner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	38	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	1-0	31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim	1-0	31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.8%

Home Win

25.0%

Draw

31.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 1.77

1. FC Heidenheim 1.47

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfB Stuttgart

1. FC Heidenheim

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)