Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 - Football Platform

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

HT: 2–0

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

05 Oct 2025

17:30

Volksparkstadion

Stadium

Volksparkstadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 57030 Surface: grass Address: Sylvester Allee 7

Score Summary

Hamburger SV

4 0

FT HT 2–0

FSV Mainz 05

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

Hamburger SV 1500 1508 ▲ 7

49% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1493 1486 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Hamburger SV -0.21 -0.62 ▼ -0.41

46% Win

FSV Mainz 05 0.03 0.21 ▲ 0.17

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rayan Philippe

Hamburger SV

9.3

9.3 rating · 82 min

Most Clinical

Rayan Philippe

Hamburger SV

9.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Jean-Luc Dompé

Hamburger SV

8.0

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Andreas Hanche-Olsen

FSV Mainz 05

5.6

1 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Hamburger SV 69% FSV Mainz 05 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

35 Possession 65

15 Shots 11

9 On Target 4

Form Context

Hamburger SV

L D L L L

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

Hamburger SV controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Hamburger SV generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Hamburger SV after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 31.9%

Draw 25.1%

Away Win 43.0%

Expected Goals 1.49 - 1.75

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

35 Possession 65

9 Shots 4

15 Shots 11

3 Offsides 3

5 Shots Off Goal 4

9 Shots On Goal 4

15 Total Shots 11

35 Ball Possession 65

194 Passes Accurate 428

285 Total Passes 514

68% Passes % 83%

1 Blocked Shots 3

4 Goalkeeper Saves 5

14 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

1 Corner Kicks 4

10 Shots Insidebox 7

5 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.91 expected_goals 0.67

-1 goals_prevented -1

Hamburger SV — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Sambi Lokonga	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	62	6	M	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	19	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	8	38	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Elfadli	1	-	-	-	11	7	1	2	False	90	8	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	14	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Daniel Fernandes	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	8	False	0	4	-	-	21	-	41	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Peretz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Baldé	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	22	45	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Giorgi Gocholeishvili	0	4	-	2	15	8	3	3	False	82	16	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	1
👤 Guilherme Ramos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Immanuel Pherai	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean-Luc Dompé	0	3	-	1	4	2	-	1	False	68	7	F	8	False	0	-	1	-	7	4	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	28	23	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Luka Vušković	0	-	1	-	13	7	1	2	False	90	44	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	21	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	3	3	-
👤 Miro Muheim	0	-	3	-	8	2	2	-	False	90	28	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	16	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Nicolai Remberg	1	-	3	-	9	4	2	1	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	25	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Nicolás Capaldo	0	-	-	-	12	9	2	2	True	90	24	D	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	20	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	0	-	-	-	8	4	1	1	False	67	11	F	6.7	False	0	-	-	3	4	1	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Rayan Philippe	0	1	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	82	14	F	9.3	False	0	-	2	-	6	2	11	-	-	-	4	5	-	1	-
👤 Robert Glatzel	0	1	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	23	9	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 William Mikelbrencis	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	2	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yussuf Poulsen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Hanche-Olsen	0	1	1	-	12	7	2	1	False	90	25	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	43	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	1
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	28	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	3	-	2	12	9	1	4	False	90	9	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	-	-	-	8	2	3	1	False	62	17	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	1	2	1	7	1	-	-	False	90	21	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	1	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	-	-	7	4	2	2	False	62	31	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Jae-sung Lee	1	1	1	-	13	4	2	1	False	71	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	24	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	2	-	1	11	7	-	1	False	90	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	55	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.6	False	0	4	5	-	-	23	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	15	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	1	2	-	2	9	5	1	1	True	82	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	1	76	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Nelson Weiper	0	-	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	45	44	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	19	22	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	3	1	1	11	7	-	1	False	90	8	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	2	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	45	2	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Bell	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	28	16	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 William Bøving	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	4-0	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV	4-0	31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

31.9%

Home Win

25.1%

Draw

43.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Hamburger SV 1.49

FSV Mainz 05 1.75

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Hamburger SV

FSV Mainz 05

Volksparkstadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)