FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

HT: 1–3

Bayer Leverkusen

18 Oct 2025

15:30

Mewa Arena

Stadium

MEWA ARENA

Mainz, Germany

Capacity: 34034 Surface: grass Address: Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Score Summary

FSV Mainz 05

3 4

FT HT 1–3

Bayer Leverkusen

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

45% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1486 1479 ▼ -7

55% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 1520 1526 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.04 0.21 ▲ 0.25

37% Win

Bayer Leverkusen 0.20 0.54 ▲ 0.34

Top Performers

Top Rated

Alejandro Grimaldo

Bayer Leverkusen

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Alejandro Grimaldo

Bayer Leverkusen

9.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Ernest Poku

Bayer Leverkusen

6.6

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Alejandro Grimaldo

Bayer Leverkusen

9.0

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

FSV Mainz 05 33% Bayer Leverkusen 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

12 Shots 20

4 On Target 8

Form Context

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Bayer Leverkusen

D W W L W

Smart Insight

Bayer Leverkusen carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Bayer Leverkusen produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Bayer Leverkusen after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.2%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 36.5%

Expected Goals 1.64 - 1.60

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3-4	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

42 Possession 58

4 Shots 8

12 Shots 20

2 Offsides 0

4 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 8

12 Total Shots 20

42 Ball Possession 58

289 Passes Accurate 457

400 Total Passes 559

72% Passes % 82%

4 Blocked Shots 6

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

20 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 4

2 Corner Kicks 3

6 Shots Insidebox 18

6 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.66 expected_goals 3.48

0 goals_prevented 0

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Hanche-Olsen	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	25	25	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	11	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	1	False	25	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	-	-	-	12	7	2	3	False	86	17	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	-	-	-	10	5	3	-	False	90	21	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	51	-	-	0	-	-	-	3	2	3
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	4	-	11	4	2	1	False	90	31	D	4.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	39	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	1	-	1	14	5	2	-	False	81	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	19	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	-	-	-	8	7	-	1	False	90	6	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	4	3	-	-	18	-	29	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	1	1	1	1	7	4	1	1	True	90	10	M	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	41	3	49	-	-	1	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	2	1	1	11	5	2	2	False	65	22	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	25	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Paul Nebel	0	2	2	1	9	1	1	-	False	90	8	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	24	2	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	1	3	-	13	2	3	2	False	90	2	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	32	-	-	0	1	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Bell	0	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	False	65	16	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 William Bøving	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	9	14	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bayer Leverkusen — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleix García	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	90	24	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	75	1	89	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Alejandro Grimaldo	1	4	2	3	14	9	-	3	False	90	20	M	9	False	0	0	-	2	-	41	3	49	-	-	1	-	2	4	1	4	3
👤 Arthur	0	1	-	1	10	6	3	-	False	90	13	M	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	28	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Christian Kofane	0	-	-	-	10	4	3	2	False	79	35	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	3	12	-	-	0	-	3	5	-	-	1
👤 Claudio Echeverri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Edmond Tapsoba	1	-	-	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	12	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	60	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Eliesse Ben Seghir	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	11	17	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ernest Poku	0	3	-	1	8	2	1	1	False	79	19	F	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	21	4	27	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezequiel Fernández	0	3	1	3	15	10	-	3	False	90	6	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	1	69	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Ibrahim Maza	0	1	2	1	5	1	-	-	False	24	30	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janis Blaswich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeanuël Belocian	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jeremiah Mensah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Hofmann	0	1	-	1	9	5	1	2	False	66	7	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	1	29	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Loïc Badé	1	-	-	-	11	8	2	3	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	64	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	3
👤 Mark Flekken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	3	1	-	-	31	-	44	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Terrier	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	11	11	F	7.6	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	7	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Montrell Culbreath	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Lomb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Andrich	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	-	True	90	8	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	62	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	3-4	31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	3-4	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.2%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

36.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FSV Mainz 05 1.64

Bayer Leverkusen 1.60

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FSV Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen

MEWA ARENA

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)