RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV - Football Platform

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

HT: 1–0

Hamburger SV

18 Oct 2025

15:30

Red Bull Arena

Score Summary

RB Leipzig

2 1

FT HT 1–0

Hamburger SV

C. Baumgartner 45'
C. Baumgartner 50'

48' A. S. Lokonga

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

RB Leipzig 1523 1530 ▲ 7

48% Win

Hamburger SV 1508 1500 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

RB Leipzig 0.13 0.47 ▲ 0.34

31% Win

Hamburger SV -0.13 -0.62 ▼ -0.48

Top Performers

Top Rated

Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

8.6

8.6 rating · 78 min

Most Clinical

Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Miro Muheim

Hamburger SV

7.6

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nicolas Seiwald

RB Leipzig

7.0

2 tackles · 7 interceptions

Match Momentum

RB Leipzig 57% Hamburger SV 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

47 Possession 53

10 Shots 15

4 On Target 3

Form Context

RB Leipzig

W W W W W

Hamburger SV

L D L L L

Smart Insight

RB Leipzig controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Hamburger SV produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors RB Leipzig after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.8%

Draw 24.3%

Away Win 25.9%

Expected Goals 1.90 - 1.33

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-1	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

47 Possession 53

4 Shots 3

10 Shots 15

0 Offsides 1

4 Shots Off Goal 7

4 Shots On Goal 3

10 Total Shots 15

47 Ball Possession 53

393 Passes Accurate 446

468 Total Passes 518

84% Passes % 86%

2 Blocked Shots 5

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

13 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 5

5 Shots Insidebox 10

5 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.06 expected_goals 1.53

0 goals_prevented 0

RB Leipzig — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andrija Maksimović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antonio Nusa	0	7	-	4	17	10	3	6	False	89	7	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Assan Ouédraogo	0	1	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	61	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Castello Lukeba	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	23	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	-	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Christoph Baumgartner	1	2	-	-	8	3	2	2	False	78	14	M	8.6	False	0	0	-	2	-	11	1	14	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Conrad Harder	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	11	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 David Raum	0	-	1	-	10	3	4	1	True	90	22	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	65	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	1
👤 El Chadaille Bitshiabu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezechiel Banzuzi	0	-	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	29	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Johan Bakayoko	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	61	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Klostermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	16	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maarten Vandevoordt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Seiwald	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	90	13	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	7	2
👤 Péter Gulácsi	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	17	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ridle Baku	0	2	4	-	13	3	2	-	False	90	17	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Rômulo	0	1	1	-	12	6	-	1	False	89	40	F	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Tidiam Gomis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Willi Orban	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Xaver Schlager	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	24	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Yan Diomande	1	3	-	2	5	2	-	-	False	29	49	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

Hamburger SV — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Sambi Lokonga	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	76	6	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	28	2	32	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Elfadli	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	8	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Daniel Fernandes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	2	2	-	-	43	-	47	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Peretz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Baldé	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	12	45	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Guilherme Ramos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	13	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Immanuel Pherai	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	14	10	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jean-Luc Dompé	0	5	1	4	9	6	-	1	False	90	7	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	28	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordan Torunarigha	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luka Vušković	0	-	1	-	14	9	1	-	False	90	44	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	2	81	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Miro Muheim	0	1	-	1	8	6	1	2	False	90	28	M	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	47	2	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Nicolai Remberg	0	-	-	-	9	6	2	-	False	90	21	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nicolás Capaldo	1	-	3	-	13	7	3	5	True	89	24	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	2	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	76	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	4	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Philippe	0	-	2	-	7	2	1	1	False	89	14	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Robert Glatzel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	9	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Mikelbrencis	0	2	-	1	9	4	2	-	False	84	2	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Yussuf Poulsen	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	14	15	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	2-1	31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV	2-1	31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.8%

Home Win

24.3%

Draw

25.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 1.90

Hamburger SV 1.33

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

RB Leipzig

Hamburger SV

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)