Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

HT: 1–0

Borussia Dortmund

22' H. Kane
78' M. Olise
84' J. Brandt

18 Oct 2025

18:30

Allianz Arena

Score Summary

Bayern München

2 1

FT HT 1–0

Borussia Dortmund

H. Kane 22'
M. Olise 78'

84' J. Brandt

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Bayern München 1552 1559 ▲ 7

48% Win

Borussia Dortmund 1536 1528 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

51% Win

Bayern München 0.84 1.57 ▲ 0.73

33% Win

Borussia Dortmund 0.21 0.66 ▲ 0.45

Top Performers

Top Rated

Harry Kane

Bayern München

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Michael Olise

Bayern München

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Joshua Kimmich

Bayern München

7.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Nico Schlotterbeck

Borussia Dortmund

8.2

4 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayern München 88% Borussia Dortmund 12%

Key Stats Snapshot

61 Possession 39

15 Shots 8

7 On Target 1

Form Context

Bayern München

W W W W W

Borussia Dortmund

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Bayern München controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bayern München generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.9%

Draw 24.7%

Away Win 28.4%

Expected Goals 1.84 - 1.40

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-1	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	2-1	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

61 Possession 39

7 Shots 1

15 Shots 8

2 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 4

7 Shots On Goal 1

15 Total Shots 8

61 Ball Possession 39

516 Passes Accurate 285

586 Total Passes 369

88% Passes % 77%

3 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 6

12 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 3

4 Corner Kicks 3

12 Shots Insidebox 5

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

2.48 expected_goals 1.58

0 goals_prevented 0

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	1	False	89	45	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	1	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 David Daiber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	47	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	0	-	-	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	64	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Harry Kane	0	1	1	1	13	10	1	6	False	90	9	M	9	False	0	0	-	1	-	37	1	47	-	-	-	1	2	2	-	1
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	0	-	1	-	5	-	2	-	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Kimmich	0	1	2	1	4	2	-	1	False	90	6	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	77	2	85	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	1	3	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	-	2	-	11	4	3	1	False	90	27	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lennart Karl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	29	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Luis Díaz	0	6	-	1	13	2	2	-	False	90	14	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	24	-	32	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	-	-	-	30	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	0	2	1	1	13	6	-	5	False	90	17	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	42	3	52	-	-	-	2	4	-	2	-
👤 Nicolas Jackson	0	1	-	-	7	2	2	1	False	61	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	3	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sacha Boey	0	1	-	-	7	1	2	-	False	84	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	51	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Sven Ulreich	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Bischof	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	12	20	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wisdom Mike	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Borussia Dortmund — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Meyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carney Chukwuemeka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Svensson	0	-	1	-	7	3	3	-	False	90	24	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 Felix Nmecha	0	4	-	2	11	6	1	1	False	90	8	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	1
👤 Fábio Silva	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	12	21	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gregor Kobel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8	False	0	2	6	-	-	16	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jobe Bellingham	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	17	7	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Julian Brandt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	10	M	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	3	1	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Julian Ryerson	1	3	-	3	15	10	2	2	False	90	26	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Karim Adeyemi	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	2	False	74	27	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Sabitzer	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	73	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Beier	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	16	14	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico Schlotterbeck	0	1	-	1	10	9	1	2	True	90	4	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	61	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	4
👤 Niklas Süle	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	25	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Pascal Groß	0	1	1	1	5	2	2	-	False	84	13	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ramy Bensebaini	1	-	-	-	6	4	2	-	False	45	5	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Salih Özcan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serhou Guirassy	0	-	-	-	10	8	-	3	False	84	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Waldemar Anton	1	3	2	1	14	8	1	2	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Yan Couto	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-1	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	2-1	31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.9%

Home Win

24.7%

Draw

28.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayern München 1.84

Borussia Dortmund 1.40

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayern München

Borussia Dortmund

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)