VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 - Football Platform

Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

HT: 1–1

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

26 Oct 2025

17:30

MHP Arena

Score Summary

VfB Stuttgart

2 1

FT HT 1–1

FSV Mainz 05

C. Fuhrich 45'
D. Undav 79'

41' N. Amiri

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

VfB Stuttgart 1511 1520 ▲ 9

45% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1479 1472 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

VfB Stuttgart 0.22 0.48 ▲ 0.26

36% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.14 0.21 ▲ 0.34

Top Performers

Top Rated

Deniz Undav

VfB Stuttgart

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Chris Führich

VfB Stuttgart

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Deniz Undav

VfB Stuttgart

8.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Nadiem Amiri

FSV Mainz 05

7.2

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

VfB Stuttgart 80% FSV Mainz 05 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

59 Possession 41

19 Shots 13

8 On Target 2

Form Context

VfB Stuttgart

W L W L D

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

VfB Stuttgart controlled momentum for most phases of play.
VfB Stuttgart generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors VfB Stuttgart after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.7%

Draw 25.2%

Away Win 33.1%

Expected Goals 1.72 - 1.52

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	2-1	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

59 Possession 41

8 Shots 2

19 Shots 13

5 Offsides 5

6 Shots Off Goal 7

8 Shots On Goal 2

19 Total Shots 13

59 Ball Possession 41

390 Passes Accurate 229

479 Total Passes 326

81% Passes % 70%

5 Blocked Shots 4

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

11 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 5

12 Shots Insidebox 11

7 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.94 expected_goals 1.45

0 goals_prevented 0

VfB Stuttgart — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nübel	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	33	G	7.9	False	1	1	1	-	-	24	1	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ameen Al-Dakhil	0	1	2	1	5	2	-	1	False	90	2	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	1	71	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Angelo Stiller	0	2	1	1	4	2	-	1	False	28	6	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Atakan Karazor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Badredine Bouanani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bilal El Khannouss	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	18	11	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Chema Andrés	0	-	-	-	6	6	1	-	False	90	30	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	50	1	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Chris Führich	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	72	10	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Dan-Axel Zagadou	0	-	2	-	12	7	2	-	False	75	23	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	74	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	2
👤 Deniz Undav	0	-	-	-	8	3	-	1	True	90	26	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	3	15	4	24	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	1
👤 Fabian Bredlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Jeltsch	1	2	1	1	10	5	1	1	False	90	29	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Jamie Leweling	0	1	-	-	7	6	-	4	False	72	18	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	2	9	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jeff Chabot	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	15	24	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Josha Vagnoman	0	2	-	1	13	7	3	1	False	90	4	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	2	30	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	4
👤 Lorenz Assignon	1	-	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	28	22	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Nikolas Nartey	0	1	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	62	28	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Pascal Stenzel	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	62	15	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Ramon Hendriks	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tiago Tomás	1	1	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	18	8	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Hanche-Olsen	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	23	25	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	17	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	1	-	1	6	2	2	-	False	23	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	2	5	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	2	1	1	10	2	-	1	False	67	17	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	26	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Kohr	1	-	1	-	6	-	3	-	False	67	31	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	1	False	87	7	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	3	10	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nadiem Amiri	1	2	-	1	9	5	-	-	False	90	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	46	1	56	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	3	4
👤 Nelson Weiper	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	11	44	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	9	22	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	0	3	2	2	8	3	1	-	False	90	8	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Phillipp Mwene	1	3	-	2	9	6	1	3	False	90	2	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Robin Zentner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	27	G	7.3	False	0	2	6	-	-	20	-	44	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	3	True	81	30	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Bell	0	-	-	-	10	2	3	1	False	87	16	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	1	22	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	3	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	2-1	31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	2-1	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: VfB Stuttgart and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.7%

Home Win

25.2%

Draw

33.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

VfB Stuttgart 1.72

FSV Mainz 05 1.52

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

VfB Stuttgart

FSV Mainz 05

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)