Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli

Bundesliga

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

HT: 1–1

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

29 Nov 2025

15:30

Allianz Arena

Score Summary

Bayern München

3 1

FT HT 1–1

FC St. Pauli

6' A. Hountondji

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

70% Win

Bayern München 1596 1602 ▲ 6

30% Win

FC St. Pauli 1449 1443 ▼ -6

xPi Expected win probability

64% Win

Bayern München 1.02 1.57 ▲ 0.55

26% Win

FC St. Pauli -0.25 -0.58 ▼ -0.33

Top Performers

Top Rated

Luis Díaz

Bayern München

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Raphaël Guerreiro

Bayern München

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Joshua Kimmich

Bayern München

8.3

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Arkadiusz Pyrka

FC St. Pauli

6.3

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayern München 80% FC St. Pauli 20%

Key Stats Snapshot

80 Possession 20

19 Shots 10

4 On Target 1

Form Context

Bayern München

W W W W W

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

Smart Insight

Bayern München controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bayern München generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.7%

Draw 22.7%

Away Win 19.6%

Expected Goals 2.08 - 1.16

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	3-1	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

80 Possession 20

4 Shots 1

19 Shots 10

3 Offsides 2

10 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 1

19 Total Shots 10

80 Ball Possession 20

924 Passes Accurate 176

995 Total Passes 242

93% Passes % 73%

5 Blocked Shots 4

0 Goalkeeper Saves 1

5 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

10 Corner Kicks 2

14 Shots Insidebox 5

5 Shots Outsidebox 5

2.30 expected_goals 0.64

0 goals_prevented 0

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	0	1	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	83	45	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	145	2	153	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	-
👤 Cassiano Kiala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	0	1	1	-	9	3	1	-	False	90	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Itō	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	1	-	-	-	9	7	1	1	False	90	4	D	8	False	0	0	-	-	-	159	-	163	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Joshua Kimmich	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	2	False	90	6	M	8.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	141	4	151	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Josip Stanišić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	25	44	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	-	-	13	10	1	-	False	77	3	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	108	1	112	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	1
👤 Konrad Laimer	0	2	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	45	27	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lennart Karl	0	5	-	2	9	3	1	1	False	65	42	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	42	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Díaz	0	6	1	2	12	5	-	-	False	90	14	M	8.7	False	1	0	-	1	2	41	2	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	1	-	-	-	24	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	0	6	-	2	8	4	-	1	False	45	17	M	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	33	2	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Nicolas Jackson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	11	F	8	True	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	3	-	2	4	3	-	1	False	65	22	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	41	-	43	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Sacha Boey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	25	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Tom Bischof	0	3	-	1	6	1	1	-	False	90	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	84	1	92	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andreas Hountondji	0	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	18	27	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	90	11	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	21	-	-	-	-	1	2	2	3
👤 Ben Voll	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	24	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danel Sinani	0	1	-	-	10	5	1	-	False	72	10	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Eric Smith	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	90	8	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	-	2	-	8	3	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Jackson Irvine	0	1	1	-	13	7	2	1	True	68	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 James Sands	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	0	1	1	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Karol Mets	1	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	90	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	-	5	-	10	5	-	-	False	68	21	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Louis Oppie	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	22	23	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	-
👤 Manolis Saliakas	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	-	1	-	15	6	1	2	False	87	28	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	3	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	22	G	6.2	False	0	3	1	-	-	15	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ricky-Jade Jones	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayern München and FC St. Pauli

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	3-1	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	3-1	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayern München and FC St. Pauli

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.7%

Home Win

22.7%

Draw

19.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayern München 2.08

FC St. Pauli 1.16

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayern München

FC St. Pauli

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)