SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05 - Football Platform

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg

Coach : C. Streich

HT: 2–0

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

30 Nov 2025

19:30

Europa-Park-Stadion

Stadium

Europa-Park-Stadion

Freiburg im Breisgau

Score Summary

SC Freiburg

4 0

FT HT 2–0

FSV Mainz 05

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

60% Win

SC Freiburg 1528 1536 ▲ 8

40% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1460 1452 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

SC Freiburg 0.01 0.12 ▲ 0.11

36% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.14 0.21 ▲ 0.35

Top Performers

Top Rated

Matthias Ginter

SC Freiburg

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Lukas Kübler

SC Freiburg

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Lucas Höler

SC Freiburg

8.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Lukas Kübler

SC Freiburg

8.3

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Freiburg 91% FSV Mainz 05 9%

Key Stats Snapshot

75 Possession 25

23 Shots 1

10 On Target 1

Form Context

SC Freiburg

W L W W L

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

SC Freiburg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
SC Freiburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Freiburg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.1%

Draw 25.2%

Away Win 32.8%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.51

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

75 Possession 25

10 Shots 1

23 Shots 1

4 Offsides 0

7 Shots Off Goal 0

10 Shots On Goal 1

23 Total Shots 1

75 Ball Possession 25

642 Passes Accurate 171

716 Total Passes 245

90% Passes % 70%

6 Blocked Shots 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

9 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 1

0 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 2

16 Shots Insidebox 0

7 Shots Outsidebox 1

4.60 expected_goals 0.11

0 goals_prevented 0

SC Freiburg — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Jung	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christian Günter	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	30	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	9	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Derry Scherhant	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	10	7	F	7	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Müller	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Matanović	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	21	31	F	5.9	True	0	-	-	1	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jan-Niklas Beste	-	1	-	8	2	3	1	False	80	19	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	31	3	35	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Johan Manzambi	3	-	2	11	8	-	3	False	80	44	M	9	False	0	-	1	-	54	1	57	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Junior Adamu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Höler	1	1	1	13	11	1	1	False	90	9	F	8.2	False	1	-	-	1	19	3	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Lukas Kübler	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	68	17	D	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	50	1	59	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Matthias Ginter	1	1	1	12	10	-	-	False	90	28	D	9	False	1	-	-	-	111	2	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Max Rosenfelder	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	37	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Eggestein	-	1	-	9	4	2	-	False	90	8	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	70	1	74	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Nicolas Höfler	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Atubolu	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	1	-	-	28	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Osterhage	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	6	M	7.5	True	0	-	1	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Lienhart	-	-	-	7	6	1	2	False	90	3	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	123	-	134	-	-	-	1	2	-	4	1
👤 Philipp Treu	1	-	-	6	4	-	3	False	87	29	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	38	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vincenzo Grifo	1	-	1	4	3	1	1	True	90	32	M	8.9	False	0	-	1	1	56	3	62	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Yuito Suzuki	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	69	14	F	7	False	1	-	-	1	17	1	22	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	1

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Hanche-Olsen	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	17	25	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	0	4	1	1	6	1	-	-	False	17	11	F	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	1	2	False	54	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	0	3	-	1	12	1	1	-	False	73	17	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Batz	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	0	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	21	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Fabio Moreno Fell	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	72	7	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	0	0	-	3	-	9	4	-	-	False	90	48	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	3	4	1
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	0	1	-	1	4	2	1	1	False	90	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Lasse Riess	0	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	4	6	-	-	16	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	36	15	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Nebel	1	0	1	-	-	4	-	3	-	False	28	8	F	4.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phillipp Mwene	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	1	1	False	90	2	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Silvan Widmer	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	1	-	1	-	9	3	3	-	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Stefan Bell	0	1	-	1	-	9	3	1	2	True	73	16	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 William Bøving	0	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	18	14	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Freiburg and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg	4-0	31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	4-0	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Freiburg and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.1%

Home Win

25.2%

Draw

32.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 1.73

FSV Mainz 05 1.51

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Freiburg

FSV Mainz 05

Europa-Park-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)