FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

Coach : A. Blessin

HT: 1–0

1. FC Heidenheim

Coach : F. Schmidt

13 Dec 2025

15:30

Millerntor-Stadion

Stadium

Millerntor-Stadion

Hamburg, Germany

Capacity: 29564 Surface: grass Address: Harald-Stender-Platz 1

Score Summary

FC St. Pauli

2 1

FT HT 1–0

1. FC Heidenheim

M. Kaars 35'
M. Kaars 53'

64' M. Pieringer

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

FC St. Pauli 1456 1467 ▲ 11

53% Win

1. FC Heidenheim 1479 1469 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

FC St. Pauli -0.32 -0.58 ▼ -0.27

34% Win

1. FC Heidenheim -0.34 -0.34 ▼ -0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Nikola Vasilj

FC St. Pauli

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Martijn Kaars

FC St. Pauli

8.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Joel Chima Fujita

FC St. Pauli

7.9

4 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Jackson Irvine

FC St. Pauli

7.2

1 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC St. Pauli 42% 1. FC Heidenheim 58%

Key Stats Snapshot

36 Possession 64

8 Shots 20

5 On Target 7

Form Context

FC St. Pauli

L D L D L

1. FC Heidenheim

D D W L W

Smart Insight

1. FC Heidenheim carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
1. FC Heidenheim produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors FC St. Pauli after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.4%

Draw 25.0%

Away Win 30.6%

Expected Goals 1.78 - 1.46

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen	55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

36 Possession 64

5 Shots 7

8 Shots 20

0 Offsides 5

2 Shots Off Goal 6

5 Shots On Goal 7

8 Total Shots 20

36 Ball Possession 64

249 Passes Accurate 497

347 Total Passes 594

72% Passes % 84%

1 Blocked Shots 7

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

6 Fouls 15

1 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

4 Corner Kicks 11

7 Shots Insidebox 14

1 Shots Outsidebox 6

0.80 expected_goals 2.44

0 goals_prevented 0

FC St. Pauli — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdoulie Ceesay	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adam Dzwigala	0	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	-	False	45	25	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Arkadiusz Pyrka	0	1	1	2	-	8	-	2	-	False	90	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Ben Voll	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Connor Metcalfe	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	24	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danel Sinani	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Smith	1	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	45	8	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Erik Ahlstrand	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hauke Wahl	0	0	-	-	-	9	3	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-
👤 Jackson Irvine	0	0	1	-	1	17	11	-	3	True	90	7	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	25	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	1
👤 James Sands	0	1	-	-	-	9	2	-	1	False	90	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Joel Chima Fujita	0	0	2	1	1	7	2	1	-	False	90	16	F	7.9	False	2	0	-	-	-	25	4	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Karol Mets	0	0	-	-	-	7	7	-	2	False	90	3	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Lars Ritzka	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Oppie	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manolis Saliakas	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martijn Kaars	0	0	2	2	-	10	1	1	-	False	76	19	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	2	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Pereira Lage	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	45	28	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	2	3	1	-	-
👤 Nikola Vasilj	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	8.3	False	0	1	6	-	-	12	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ricky-Jade Jones	0	0	-	1	-	8	3	-	2	False	13	26	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

1. FC Heidenheim — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Kölle	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adrian Beck	0	2	-	2	7	4	1	-	False	64	21	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	34	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Arijon Ibrahimović	0	5	-	3	15	9	1	1	False	90	22	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	3	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Benedikt Gimber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diant Ramaj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.7	False	0	2	2	-	-	21	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Haktab Omar Traore	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	23	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jan Schöppner	1	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	45	3	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Fohrenbach	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	19	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	3	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Niehues	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	78	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	68	-	77	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Muller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Kerber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marnon Busch	0	-	-	-	5	1	2	-	False	90	2	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	1	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marvin Pieringer	1	2	-	2	18	11	4	2	False	90	18	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	1	16	1	24	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	2
👤 Mathias Honsak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	26	17	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Mikkel Kaufmann	1	-	-	-	3	2	2	1	False	26	29	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Dorsch	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	30	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Patrick Mainka	0	-	-	-	13	10	-	-	True	90	6	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	1	81	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	2
👤 Stefan Schimmer	0	-	-	-	7	1	2	-	False	45	9	F	5.9	True	1	0	-	-	1	7	3	9	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Thomas Keller	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	45	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Siersleben	0	-	-	-	5	5	1	1	False	64	4	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	49	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München		31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05		31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli	2-1	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim	2-1	31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Heidenheim

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.4%

Home Win

25.0%

Draw

30.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.78

1. FC Heidenheim 1.46

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Heidenheim

Millerntor-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)