Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

HT: 1–1

FSV Mainz 05

Coach : U. Fischer

14 Dec 2025

17:30

Allianz Arena

Score Summary

Bayern München

2 2

FT HT 1–1

FSV Mainz 05

L. Karl 29'
H. Kane 87'

45' K. Potulski
67' Lee Jae-Sung

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

74% Win

Bayern München 1624 1620 ▼ -5

26% Win

FSV Mainz 05 1443 1448 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

65% Win

Bayern München 1.14 1.57 ▲ 0.43

25% Win

FSV Mainz 05 -0.38 0.21 ▲ 0.58

Top Performers

Top Rated

Michael Olise

Bayern München

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Lennart Karl

Bayern München

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Michael Olise

Bayern München

8.2

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Nikolas Veratschnig

FSV Mainz 05

6.2

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bayern München 85% FSV Mainz 05 15%

Key Stats Snapshot

85 Possession 15

24 Shots 5

11 On Target 2

Form Context

Bayern München

W W W W W

FSV Mainz 05

W W L D L

Smart Insight

Bayern München controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bayern München generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 58.3%

Draw 22.6%

Away Win 19.2%

Expected Goals 2.10 - 1.14

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-2	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		55	D W W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

85 Possession 15

11 Shots 2

24 Shots 5

6 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 3

11 Shots On Goal 2

24 Total Shots 5

85 Ball Possession 15

885 Passes Accurate 104

971 Total Passes 177

91% Passes % 59%

6 Blocked Shots 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 8

7 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

7 Corner Kicks 0

20 Shots Insidebox 3

4 Shots Outsidebox 2

4.50 expected_goals 0.60

1 goals_prevented 1

Bayern München — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Pavlović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	29	45	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alphonso Davies	1	4	-	1	6	2	-	-	False	29	19	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cassiano Kiala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dayot Upamecano	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harry Kane	0	1	1	1	9	6	-	2	False	90	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	2	10	1	17	-	-	1	1	5	7	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Itō	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	1	False	61	21	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	97	-	102	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jonas Urbig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonathan Tah	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Kimmich	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	6	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	156	3	172	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Josip Stanišić	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	44	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	94	1	99	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Kim Min-jae	0	-	-	-	7	6	-	-	False	73	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	109	-	118	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Konrad Laimer	1	2	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	29	27	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lennart Karl	0	1	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	90	42	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	2	45	2	50	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Leon Goretzka	0	-	-	-	6	2	-	1	False	61	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	67	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Manuel Neuer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	2	-	-	-	29	-	31	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Olise	0	5	1	3	13	8	2	3	False	90	17	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	5	83	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Jackson	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	17	11	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	4	-	-	0	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Raphaël Guerreiro	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Serge Gnabry	0	7	-	3	11	4	1	-	False	90	7	M	8	False	1	0	-	-	2	68	2	74	-	-	0	-	3	5	-	-	1
👤 Tom Bischof	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	61	20	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	57	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

FSV Mainz 05 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Hanche-Olsen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Armindo Sieb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arnaud Nordin	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	28	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Ben Justus Bobzien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benedict Hollerbach	0	2	-	1	16	7	-	1	False	78	17	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Daniel Batz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	33	G	7.9	False	0	2	8	-	-	16	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Gleiber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny da Costa	1	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	21	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Fabio Moreno Fell	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	36	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jae-sung Lee	0	-	3	-	13	5	-	1	False	90	7	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Kacper Potulski	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	90	48	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	-	14	1	-	-	1	1	2	2	1
👤 Kaishu Sano	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Konstantin Schopp	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Riess	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lennard Maloney	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	1	False	90	15	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	10	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Nelson Weiper	0	3	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	12	44	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nikolas Veratschnig	0	-	1	-	11	4	3	2	False	90	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	2
👤 Sota Kawasaki	0	1	-	-	8	6	1	1	False	62	24	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Stefan Bell	0	1	-	1	5	2	-	-	True	90	16	D	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	10	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 William Bøving	0	-	1	-	9	5	1	1	False	90	14	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	10	2	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern München	2-2	31	26	4	1	113	32	81	82	W W W W W
2	Borussia Dortmund		31	20	7	4	65	31	34	67	W W L L W
3	RB Leipzig		31	19	5	7	62	38	24	62	W W W W W
4	VfB Stuttgart		31	17	6	8	63	43	20	57	W L W L D
5	1899 Hoffenheim		31	17	6	8	61	45	16	57	L L D W W
6	Bayer Leverkusen		31	16	7	8	62	42	20	55	D W W L W
7	Eintracht Frankfurt		31	11	10	10	56	58	-2	43	L D W L D
8	SC Freiburg		31	12	7	12	44	52	-8	43	W L W W L
9	FC Augsburg		31	10	7	14	39	55	-16	37	L D D W D
10	FSV Mainz 05	2-2	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	34	W W L D L
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach		31	7	11	13	36	50	-14	32	D D L D D
12	Werder Bremen		31	8	8	15	36	54	-18	32	W L L W D
13	Union Berlin		31	8	8	15	35	55	-20	32	L D L L L
14	1. FC Köln		31	7	10	14	45	53	-8	31	D D W D L
15	Hamburger SV		31	7	10	14	34	50	-16	31	L D L L L
16	FC St. Pauli		31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26	L D L D L
17	VfL Wolfsburg		31	6	7	18	41	66	-25	25	L L L W D
18	1. FC Heidenheim		31	5	7	19	35	66	-31	22	D D W L W

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bayern München and FSV Mainz 05

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Bayern München	31	88	1
2	Borussia Dortmund	31	71	2
3	RB Leipzig	31	66	3
4	VfB Stuttgart	31	61	5
5	1899 Hoffenheim	31	61	5
6	Bayer Leverkusen	31	59	5
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	31	47	8
8	SC Freiburg	31	48	7
9	FC Augsburg	31	40	10
10	FSV Mainz 05	31	38	11
11	Borussia Mönchengladbach	31	36	12
12	Werder Bremen	31	36	12
13	Union Berlin	31	36	12
14	1. FC Köln	31	34	13
15	Hamburger SV	31	34	14
16	FC St. Pauli	31	30	16
17	VfL Wolfsburg	31	28	17
18	1. FC Heidenheim	31	25	18

Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Conference League Qualification

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

58.3%

Home Win

22.6%

Draw

19.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bayern München 2.10

FSV Mainz 05 1.14

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bayern München

FSV Mainz 05

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)